How many games will the Houston Texans win in the 2020 NFL season? We look at BetMGM‘s projected win total and the Over/Under odds, while looking back at the 2019 season and key offseason roster changes.
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Houston Texans’ 2019 season
The Texans went 10-6 in the regular season and won the AFC South for the second straight year. They beat the Buffalo Bills in the Wild Card Round of the playoffs but blew a 24-0 lead to the eventual world champion Kansas City Chiefs in the Divisional Round.
On the betting side of things, despite going 11-7 straight up, they were only 8-9-1 against the spread, including the postseason.
Houston Texans’ 2020 offseason changes
Houston lost RB Carlos Hyde and DL D.J. Reader in free agency. They traded away star WR DeAndre Hopkins as well. They added RB David Johnson in the Hopkins trade, acquired WR Brandin Cooks from the Los Angeles Rams and signed LT Laremy Tunsil to a big extension.
In free agency, they added WR Randall Cobb and drafted defensive lineman Ross Blacklock (TCU) and pass rusher Jonathan Greenard (Florida).
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Houston Texans’ 2020 schedule
Week 1: at Kansas City Chiefs
Week 2: vs. Baltimore Ravens
Week 3: at Pittsburgh Steelers
Week 4: vs. Minnesota Vikings
Week 5: vs. Jacksonville Jaguars
Week 6: at Tennessee Titans
Week 7: vs. Green Bay Packers
Week 8: BYE
Week 9: at Jacksonville Jaguars
Week 10: at Cleveland Browns
Week 11: vs. New England Patriots
Week 12: at Detroit Lions
Week 13: vs. Indianapolis Colts
Week 14: at Chicago Bears
Week 15: at Indianapolis Colts
Week 16: vs. Cincinnati Bengals
Week 17: vs. Tennessee Titans
Houston Texans’ 2020 win total: Best bet
Odds via BetMGM; access USA TODAY Sports’ betting odds for a full list. Odds last updated Friday, Aug. 7 at 9:30 a.m. ET.
Projected wins: 7.5 / OVER: +100 / UNDER: -120
Houston has been to the playoffs four of the last five seasons but head coach Bill O’Brien is on the hot seat. Because they have QB Deshaun Watson, they are in every game; however, they play in an increasingly difficult division, as the Colts and Titans both are in the mix to win the AFC South crown in 2020.
They will probably get three or four wins in the division. After that, they only have one game where it looks like a sure win (against the Bengals). That said, if they get four wins in the division (split with Colts and Titans, sweep the Jaguars), they only need four wins in their other 10 games to hit the Over.
With even money on the Over, this works out nicely. Take the OVER 7.5 WINS (+100).
New to sports betting? A $10 wager on the Over will profit $10.00 if the Texans win at least eight games.
Exact season wins: Bands
0-4 wins: +1200
5-8 wins: -176
9-12 wins: +155
13-16 wins: +5000
This is where things get tough. The favorite is 5-8 wins, but nine bumps you up into better value. The NFL is a quarterback-driven league and the Texans do have one of the best in Watson. It comes down to whether you think Watson can get them that ninth win.
I think he will. While 5-8 wins might be tempting, go with 9-12 WINS (+155).
Exact wins: Best bet
The betting favorite is eight wins for Houston at +275. Seven wins (+300) and nine wins (+340) offer only slightly longer odds.
Staying consistent with our other best bets, seven would put them under their season total projection and eight keeps them in the lower band. Go with NINE WINS (+340).
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