The Houston Texans (4-9) visit the Indianapolis Colts (9-4) Sunday of Week 15 for a 1 p.m. ET kickoff. Below, we preview the Texans-Colts betting odds and lines and make our NFL picks and predictions.
Texans at Colts: Betting odds, spread and lines
Odds via BetMGM; access USA TODAY Sports’ betting odds for a full list. Lines last updated Friday at 3:45 p.m. ET.
- Money line: Texans +300 (bet $100 to win $300) | Colts -375 (bet $375 to win $100)
- Against the spread/ATS: Texans +7.5 (-110) | Colts -7.5 (-110)
- Over/Under: 50.5 (O: -115 | U: -105)
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Texans at Colts: Game notes
- The Texans enter on a two-game skid, including a 36-7 loss at the Chicago Bears in Week 14. The Texans, who were 1-point favorites, trailed 30-7 at the break and never threatened in the second half. Houston’s defense, which ranks 31st in total yards allowed per game (406.6), surrendered 410 yards to Chicago, which ranks 28th in total YPG (319.8). Houston QB Deshaun Watson threw for 219 yards with 1 TD and no interceptions, but he was sacked 6 times.
- The Colts offense was nearly perfect last week, scoring on 7 of its first 8 possessions in a 44-27 road win at the Las Vegas Raiders. Indy, which was a 2.5-point favorite, rushed for 212 yards led by rookie RB Jonathan Taylor‘s career-best 150 yards and 2 touchdowns. QB Philip Rivers threw for 244 yards and 2 TDs, both to WR T.Y. Hilton (5 receptions, 86 yards).
- The Colts, winners in four of their last five, have the same record as the AFC South-leading Tennessee Titans. The rivals split their two games this season, but the Titans win the tiebreaker based on a better division record at 4-1 to the Colts’ 2-2 mark.
- Indy, currently in the AFC’s No. 6 playoff seed, will next visit the Pittsburgh Steelers (11-2) and close at home against the Jacksonville Jaguars (1-12). The Titans host the Detroit Lions (5-8) Sunday, followed by road games at the Green Bay Packers (10-3) and Texans.
- The Texans have lost three of their last five games and have been eliminated from the playoff race.
- The Colts won 26-20 at the Texans in Week 13 as 3.5-point favorites but needed a late turnover to secure the victory. Houston faced 2nd-and-goal at the Colts’ 2-yard line with 1:28 to go, but a low snap led to a fumble, which LB Anthony Walker recovered. Rivers threw for 285 yards and 2 TDs, while Taylor ran for 91 yards and Hilton had 110 receiving yards and a TD in the win.
- The Colts are 4-1 straight up and 5-0 ATS in the last 5 games of the head-to-head series. The Texans won 20-17 in Week 12 of last season but failed to cover as 3.5-point favorites.
Betting stats:
- ATS: Texans 4-9 | Colts 8-5
- O/U: Texans 6-7 | Colts 8-5
Texans at Colts: Key injuries
Texans
- WR Brandin Cooks (neck) questionable
- CB Phillip Gaines (knee) questionable
- RB Duke Johnson (neck) questionable
- RB C.J. Prosise (ankle) questionable
Colts
- TE Mo Alie-Cox (knee) questionable
- DT DeForest Buckner (ankle) questionable
Texans at Colts: Odds, betting lines, predictions and picks
Prediction
Colts 27, Texans 20
Money line (?)
PASS. The Colts will prevail, but their -375 price isn’t worth the risk.
Against the spread (?)
HOUSTON +7.5 (-110) is the STRONGEST PLAY – 1.5 times your usual wager. The Colts are fighting for a division title, while the Texans are out of the playoff race, but this is a rivalry game. Eight of the last 10 games between the two rivals have been decided by 7 or fewer points.
Over/Under (?)
PASSING here, too. The lean is toward the Under 50.5, but there are just too many conflicting trends. The Over is 5-1 in Indy’s last 6 games inside the AFC South. The Under is 4-0 in Houston’s last 4 as an underdog. Indy is 4-1 O/U in its last 5 games; Houston is 1-4 O/U in its last 5.
The reason for the lean? The Under is 4-1 in the last 5 meetings between the two and 7-3 in the last 10.
Want action on this NFL game? Sign up and bet at BetMGM. If you’re looking for more sports betting picks and tips, visit SportsbookWire.com. Please gamble responsibly.
Also see:
- Texans 100: Facts, figures for Colts rematch (Texans Wire)
- Keys for Indy defense vs. Houston (Colts Wire)
| Johnny’s 2020 NFL record / Strongest plays | 22-21-1 / 9-9-1 |
| 2019 NFL record / Strongest plays | 17-10-1 / 7-4 |
| 2020 overall record (all sports) | 167-131-3 |
| Strongest plays (all sports) | 81-53-1 |
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