Houston Texans at Dallas Cowboys odds, picks and predictions

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The Houston Texans (6-4) and the Dallas Cowboys (3-6) meet for Monday Night Football at AT&T Stadium in Arlington. Kickoff is scheduled for 8:15 p.m. ET (ESPN/ABC). Let’s analyze FanDuel Sportsbook’s NFL odds around the Texans vs. Cowboys odds, and make our expert NFL picks and predictions.

The Texans lost 26-23 against the Detroit Lions on Sunday Night Football last weekend, although they did hang on to cover as 4-point underdogs. The total pushed (49) at most shops, too. Houston has dropped 3 of its past 4 outings with the Under going 3-0-1. The total has gone low at a 7-1-1 clip in the previous 9 outings.

Houston is 1-3 straight up (SU) against NFC teams this season, winning 19-13 in Week 2 against the Chicago Bears in a game which was a push as a 6-point favorite. The Texans are 2-1-1 against the spread (ATS) vs. NFC teams this season, while the Under is 3-0-1 in those contests.

The Texans are expected to welcome back WR Nico Collins after a 5-game absence. He was leading the NFL in receiving prior to this injury, so perhaps his return will snap QB C.J. Stroud and the Houston offense back on track.

Dallas is coming off a 34-6 blowout loss to the Philadelphia Eagles last week, although that wasn’t the most disappointing sporting event at AT&T Stadium in the past week. That was the Jake Paul-Mike Tyson farce. Anyway, the Cowboys have lost and failed to cover in 4 in a row, while the Under has cashed in 2 straight outings. The total has gone low in 4 of the past 6 outings, too.

QB Cooper Rush started against the Eagles in place of the injured QB Dak Prescott (hamstring), who is out for the season. QB Trey Lance also made an appearance in the rout.

The Cowboys are 2-1 SU/ATS in 3 tries against AFC foes this season, while the Over is 2-1 in those games. It lost to the Baltimore Ravens in the only previous home game against an AFC team this season, however.

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Texans at Cowboys odds

Provided by FanDuel Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list of NFL odds. Lines last updated Sunday at 7:35 a.m. ET.

Moneyline (ML): Texans -375 (bet $375 to win $100) | Cowboys +300 (bet $100 to win $300)
Against the spread (ATS): Texans -7 (-118) | Cowboys +7 (-104)
Over/Under (O/U): 41.5 (O: -115 | U: -105)

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Texans at Cowboys key injuries

Texans

DE Will Anderson Jr. (ankle) out
DT Folorunso Fatukasi (foot) out
OT Blake Fisher (concussion) out
CB Kamari Lassiter (concussion) questionable
CB Jeff Okudah (quadriceps) questionable

Cowboys

CB DaRon Bland (foot) out
OT Edoma Chuga (toe) questionable
WR CeeDee Lamb (back) questionable
CB Jourdan Lewis (neck) out
FB Hunter Luepke (calf) doubtful
OG Zack Martin (shoulder) questionable
QB Dak Prescott (hamstring) out
LB Nick Vigil (foot) questionable

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Texans at Cowboys picks and predictions

Prediction

Texans 26, Cowboys 13

Moneyline

The Texans (-375) will set you back nearly 4 times your potential return, and that’s way too much risk for not enough reward.

While the Cowboys (+300) are a mess and Houston should be much better as Collins is folded back into the lineup, this is just too much risk, especially on the road.

PASS.

Against the spread

Playing TEXANS -7 (-118) is a much more economical option.

Houston should be a lot more effective on offense with Collins back, joining WR Tank Dell. Stroud has struggled with his receivers dropping like flies, but the Texans are about as healthy as they’ve been in several weeks. The same cannot be said for the Cowboys +7 (-104).

Over/Under

UNDER 41.5 (-105) is a decent play, although this is an awfully low number.

Still, the Texans have cashed low in 2 in a row, and 4 of the past 6 outings, while the Cowboys offense looked like hot garbage last week with no Prescott, and no real run game to speak of. Toss in the fact Lamb is nicked up and an uncertainty, and Dallas could really have trouble moving the ball again.

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