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The Detroit Pistons (4-6) welcome the Houston Rockets (5-4) to Little Caesars Arena Sunday. Tip is set for 3 p.m. ET. Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s NBA odds around the Rockets vs. Pistons odds and make our expert NBA picks and predictions for the best bets.
Season series: First meeting; Rockets won both meetings last season
The Pistons beat the Atlanta Hawks 122-121 at home Friday, but failed to cover as a 2.5-point favorite. They have won 3 of their last 4 games and have won 2 straight at home after dropping the first 3 there. Detroit is 5-5 against the spread (ATS), having covered in 5 of its last 8 games. It is 2-3 ATS at home. The Pistons have surged offensively, scoring 115 or more points twice in the last 3 games. They are led by G Cade Cunningham, who is averaging 22.8 points, 7.2 rebounds and 8.2 assists per game.
The Rockets lost at the Oklahoma City Thunder 126-107 on Friday, closing as a 7.5-point road underdog. Despite the loss, they are 4-2 straight up (SU) and ATS in the last 6 games. Houston is 2-2 SU/ATS in 4 road games. It has played at a high level defensively, allowing 102 or fewer points in 4 of its last 6. G Jalen Green leads the team at 21.7 points per game.
Rockets at Pistons odds
Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list of NBA odds. Lines last updated at 7:46 a.m. ET.
- Moneyline (ML): Rockets -160 (bet $160 to win $100) | Pistons +140 (bet $100 to win $140)
- Against the spread (ATS): Rockets -3.5 (-110) | Pistons +3.5 (-110)
- Over/Under (O/U): 218.5 (O: -115 | U: -105)
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Rockets at Pistons key injuries
Rockets
- C Steven Adams (knee) out
Pistons
- C Jalen Duren (ankle) doubtful
- F Ausar Thompson (reconditioning) out
For most recent updates: Official NBA injury report.
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Rockets at Pistons picks and predictions
Prediction
Rockets 110, Pistons 107
Moneyline
PASS.
There’s not a lot of value here.
While the Pistons have been better as of late, their wins have come against the Hawks, Brooklyn Nets and LA Lakers — only the latter potentially contending for a playoff spot. Detroit is better played on the spread here.
Against the spread
BET PISTONS +3.5 (-110).
As a favorite of 3 points or more this season, the Rockets are just 1-2 ATS. Houston is just 2-2 over its last 4 games and it has been struggling to really pull ahead offensively. It has scored more than 110 points in just 3 of 9 games and has failed to top that number in 2 of its last 3 games.
The Pistons are the opposite, and their offense has come alive in the past week. They have scored 115 points or more in 2 of their last 3 outings and are 5-3 ATS in their last 8 games.
Detroit has been the far more efficient offense as well with its top 4 scorers all shooting 46% or better from the field. One would have to go down to the sixth scoring option to find a Rockets player shooting higher than that.
Take the most efficient side and back PISTONS +3.5 (-110).
Over/Under
BET UNDER 218.5 (-105).
Both teams are trending toward the Under this season. The Pistons are 3-7 O/U while the Rockets are 4-5 O/U. Detroit has gone Under in 3 of its last 4 games, allowing 103 or fewer points twice.
The Rockets’ defense has been among the more aggressive and has forced opponents under 105 points in 4 of their last 6 games. Considering those trends for both teams, take UNDER 218.5 (-105).
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