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The Houston Rockets (38-39) pay a visit to the Dallas Mavericks (47-30) Sunday. Tip-off from American Airlines Center is set for 3:30 p.m. ET (NBA TV). Let’s analyze FanDuel Sportsbook’s lines around the Rockets vs. Mavericks odds and make our expert NBA picks and predictions.
Season series: Dallas leads 2-1
Houston suffered a 119-104 home loss vs. the Miami Heat Friday and failed to cover as a 3-point road underdog. The Rockets allowed the Heat to shoot 49.4% from the field, while only shooting 37.8% from the field themselves in the loss. The loss was Houston’s 4th in a row after it ran off 11 wins in a row.
Dallas came away with a 108-106 win over the Golden State Warriors Friday, covering as a 1-point home favorite. F P.J. Washington hit the go-ahead bucket late to lift the Mavericks, who won despite missing G Luka Doncic because of a sore knee. The Mavericks have won back-to-back games, 9 of 10 and 13 of 15.
Rockets at Mavericks odds
Provided by FanDuel Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated Saturday at 10:44 p.m. ET.
- Moneyline (ML): Rockets +235 (bet $100 to win $235) | Mavericks -290 (bet $290 to win $100)
- Against the spread (ATS): Rockets +7 (-110) | Mavericks -7 (-110)
- Over/Under (O/U): 226.5 (O: -110 | U: -110)
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Rockets at Mavericks key injuries
Rockets
- G Amen Thompson (ankle, finger) probable
Mavericks
- G Luka Doncic (knee) questionable
- F Maxi Kleber (back) questionable
- C Dereck Lively (knee) out
For most recent updates: Official NBA injury report.
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Rockets at Mavericks picks and predictions
Prediction
Mavericks 114, Rockets 104
Moneyline
PASS.
The Mavericks will pick up the win, but they are not worth the risk of betting on as -290 favorites. Back the spread and/or total instead.
Against the spread
BET MAVERICKS -7 (-110).
Dallas has covered the spread in back-to-back games and is 7-1 ATS in its last 8 outings, while the Rockets are only 1-4 ATS in their last 5. The Mavs have also covered in 2 of their last 3 matchups vs. the Rockets and are 6-4 ATS in the last 10 of the series, dating back to January 2022.
Plus, the Mavericks are 3-1 ATS in their last 4 home meetings vs. the Rockets.
Be aware that if Doncic doesn’t play, this becomes a riskier bet.
Over/Under
BET UNDER 226.5 (-110).
The Under is 3-0 in the Mavericks’ last 3 games and is 9-1 in their last 10. The Under has also hit in 6 of the last 9 matchups between these squads.
The Under has been the much safer play for Dallas this season at 43-34.
However, be warned. The Over has been a dominant 8-2 in Houston’s last 10 games.
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