The Seattle Mariners (51-42) host the Houston Astros (61-32) Friday at T-Mobile Park for the start of their 3-game series. First pitch is scheduled for 10:10 p.m. ET. Let’s analyze Tipico Sportsbook‘s lines around the Astros vs. Mariners odds with MLB picks and predictions.
Season series: Tied 6-6, but Seattle has a plus-12 run differential in those meetings.
Houston won both games in a home doubleheader vs. the New York Yankees Thursday by a combined score of 10-7 and the Astros are 10 games ahead of the Mariners atop the AL West.
Seattle rode a 14-game winning streak into the All-Star break and has played its way up to the 2nd AL wild-card seed.
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Astros at Mariners projected starters
RHP Jose Urquidy vs. LHP Marco Gonzales
Urquidy is 8-4 with a 4.09 ERA, 1.25 WHIP, 1.9 BB/9 and 7.0 K/9 in 94 2/3 IP across 17 starts.
- Last start: Lost 5-1 at home July 15 vs. the Oakland Athletics with 6 1/3 IP, 3 ER, 6 H, 0 BB and 9 K.
- 2022 vs. the Mariners: 0-3 with a 10.38 ERA (13 IP, 15 ER), 27 H, 4 HR, 7 BB and 9 K in 3 starts.
Gonzales is 5-9 with a 3.50 ERA, 1.37 WHIP, 3.0 BB/9 and 4.8 K/9 in 100 1/3 IP over 18 starts.
- Last start: No-decision in Seattle’s 6-5 win at the Texas Rangers July 14 with 6 IP, 5 ER, 11 H, 2 BB and 4 K.
- 2022 vs. the Astros: 1-2 with a 2.66 ERA (20 1/3 IP, 6 ER), 0.98 WHIP, 3 HR and 4.4 K/9 in 3 starts.
Astros at Mariners odds and lines
Odds provided by Tipico Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 8:36 a.m. ET.
- Money line (ML): Astros -120 (bet $120 to win $100) | Mariners +100 (bet $100 to win $100)
- Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Astros -1.5 (+135) | Mariners +1.5 (-170)
- Over/Under (O/U): 8.5 (O: -108 | U: -112)
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Astros at Mariners picks and predictions
Prediction
Mariners 4, Astros 3
Money line
BET the MARINERS (+100) because they’ve owned Urquidy and Seattle is 7-1 overall after a rest day and 3-1 when playing with a rest advantage. Urquidy has a 7.77 ERA in his last 5 starts vs. the Mariners dating back to last season whereas Gonzales has a 2.10 ERA in his last 5 starts vs. Houston.
Also, the Astros (-120) could be a tad fatigued after playing a doubleheader a day earlier vs. the Yankees and then having to travel halfway across the country for a division matchup against a red-hot Mariners team.
BET MARINERS (+100).
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Run line/Against the spread
PASS.
The Mariners +1.5 (-170) are a little out of my price range considering Seattle is 20-24 RL at home and the Astros -1.5 (+135) are 26-23 RL on the road.
Over/Under
LEAN UNDER 8.5 (-112) since T-Mobile Park is historically pitcher-friendly, Astros-Mariners are 1-5 O/U in their last 6 meetings in Seattle, Houston is 11-26 O/U as road favorites and Seattle 5-11-1 O/U as home underdogs.
It’s only a LEAN to the UNDER 8.5 (-112) because Seattle’s ML is my favorite look in this game.
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