The Houston Astros (15-15) look to avoid a 3-game sweep by the New York Yankees (16-14) in the series finale Thursday at Yankee Stadium. First pitch is slated for 1:05 p.m. ET. Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook‘s lines around the Astros vs. Yankees odds with MLB picks and predictions.
Season series: Yankees lead 2-0. They beat the Astros 6-3 Wednesday and 7-3 Tuesday.
RHP Lance McCullers Jr. is projected to start for the Astros. He is 2-1 with a 3.38 ERA (26 2/3 IP, 10 ER), 1.05 WHIP, 10.1 K/9 and 4.7 BB/9 in 5 starts.
- Last outing: Win, 7 IP, 0 ER, 3 H, 3 BB, 9 K in 9-2 victory at Tampa Bay Rays Friday
- Career vs. Yankees (regular season): 2-0, 2.59 ERA (24 1/3 IP, 7 ER), 1.11 WHIP, 10.4 K/9 in 4 starts
RHP Gerrit Cole is expected to take the hill for the Yankees. He is 4-1 with a 1.43 ERA (37 2/3 IP, 6 ER), 0.72 WHIP, 14.8 K/9 and 0.7 BB/9 in 6 starts.
- Last outing: Win, 6 IP, 0 ER, 4 H, 0 BB, 12 K in 10-0 home shutout of Detroit Tigers Friday
- Career vs. Astros: 0-1, 9.00 ERA (5 IP, 5 ER), 7 H, 1 BB, 4 K in 1 start back in 2016
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Astros at Yankees odds, lines, picks and prediction
MLB odds courtesy of BetMGM; access USA TODAY Sports for a full list. Odds last updated at 6:45 a.m. ET.
- Money line: Astros +170 (bet $100 to win $170) | Yankees -200 (bet $200 to win $100)
- Against the spread/ATS: Astros +1.5 (-120) | Yankees -1.5 (+100)
- Over/Under: 7.5 (O: -110 | U: -110)
Prediction
Yankees 4, Astros 1
Money line (ML)
Back NEW YORK (-200) for a HALF UNIT. The Yankees have run off 5 consecutive victories, won 7 of their last 8 games and 10 of their last 13.
To top it off, they’ll have their ace on the mound as they go for the sweep of the Astros, who have dropped 3 straight.
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Run line/Against the spread (ATS)
NEW YORK -1.5 (+100) is the way to go. The Yankees have 16 wins this season with 15 of them by 2 or more runs.
ATS records: Astros 14-16 | Yankees 15-15
Over/Under (O/U)
UNDER 7.5 (-110) is worth a QUARTER-UNIT WAGER.
Both starting pitchers are coming off shutout performances. McCullers held the Rays scoreless over 7 innings, while Cole shut down the Tigers for 6 innings
McCullers hasn’t allowed more than 2 runs in 4 of his 5 starts, while Cole hasn’t allowed more than 2 earned runs in any of his 6 starts.
O/U records: Astros 16-12-2 | Yankees 11-18-1
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| JOHNNY’S RECORD | W-L | SP | ROI |
| 2021 MLB | 36-36-2 | 9-12-1 | -4.345 |
| 2020 MLB | 80-59-1 | 39-21 | +24.79 |
| 2021 (all sports) | 139-121-3 | 58-53-1 | +9.205 |
| *–SP: Strongest plays; ROI: Return on investment | |||
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