The Houston Astros (36-27) face the Minnesota Twins (25-38) for the second game of a three-game series Saturday. First pitch is scheduled for 7:15 p.m. ET at Target Field. Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook‘s lines around the Astros vs. Twins odds with MLB picks and predictions.
RHP Luis Garcia is the projected starting pitcher for the Astros. He is 5-3 with a 2.75 ERA, 1.00 WHIP, 10.4 K/9 and 2.9 BB/9 in 59 IP over 10 starts and a pair of relief appearances. Garcia has picked up a victory in each of his last five starts. During that streak, he has allowed only six total earned runs for an ERA of 1.86.
RHP Jose Berrios is the projected starting pitcher for the Twins. He is 6-2 with a 3.58 ERA, 1.11 WHIP, 9.3 K/9 and 2.4 BB/9 in 70 1/3 IP over 12 starts. He has won his last four decisions, and his team has won in each of his last five starts.
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Astros at Twins odds, lines, picks and prediction
MLB odds courtesy of BetMGM; access USA TODAY Sports for a full list. Odds last updated at 7:20 a.m. ET.
- Money line: Astros -115 (bet $115 to win $100) | Twins -105 (bet $105 to win $100)
- Against the spread/ATS: Astros -1.5 (+135) | Twins +1.5 (-160).
- Over/Under: 9 (O: -110 | U: -110)
Prediction
Astros 4, Twins 2
Money line (ML)
The Astros picked up a 6-4 series-opening win on Friday. They have won four of their last five games and are 5-2 on their road trip.
Only the Baltimore Orioles have fewer home wins in the AL than the Twins’ 13 this season. They have lost five of their last seven games at Target Field.
Garcia and Berrios are a fantastic pitching matchup, and both teams are on winning streaks with them on the mound. However, Garcia has been pitching better than Berrios.
For that reason, I LEAN ASTROS (-115).
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Run line/Against the spread (ATS)
The Astros are 31-31 ATS this season and 15-14 ATS on the road, but in Garcia’s last four starts they have won by at least three runs.
The Twins have the league’s worst ATS record at 20-42 ATS. They have covered the spread only three times in their last 16 games.
Again, I LEAN ASTROS -1.5 (+135).
Over/Under (O/U)
The Twins have the highest Over percentage in the league at 67.8%. The Astros are close at 61.7% – the third-highest clip in the majors.
However, the total has gone over 9 runs in only one of Berrios’ last five starts, and Houston has only had four of its last 11 games go Over the projected total.
Take UNDER 9 (-110).
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