Houston Astros at Detroit Tigers Game 1 odds, picks and prediction

Analyzing Saturday’s Houston Astros at Detroit Tigers Game 1 odds and lines, with MLB picks and predictions.

The Houston Astros (47-28) and Detroit Tigers (32-43) play the first game of a doubleheader Saturday with a 1:10 p.m. ET first pitch at Comerica Park. Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook‘s lines around the Astros vs. Tigers odds with MLB picks and predictions.

LHP Framber Valdez is the projected starting pitcher for the Astros. He is 4-0 with a 1.67 ERA, 0.99 WHIP, 8.1 K/9 and 2.5 BB/9 in 32 1/3 IP over 5 starts.

Valdez has been money in June, winning his four starts while allowing 2 or fewer earned runs in each. He also lasted at least 7 innings every time out giving up a total of just 21 hits in 28 1/3 innings.

RHP Casey Mize is the projected starting pitcher for the Tigers. He is 4-4 with a 3.61 ERA, 1.12 WHIP, 7.2 K/9 and 2.6 BB/9 in 82 1/3 IP over 14 starts.

Mize has been respectable for most of the season, allowing 3 or fewer runs in 10 consecutive outings. He has served up 6 home runs across 24 2/3 innings in his four June starts, but the damage has come with a limited amount of baserunners.

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Astros at Tigers odds, lines, picks and prediction

MLB odds courtesy of BetMGM; access USA TODAY Sports for a full list. Odds last updated at 10:46 a.m. ET.

  • Money line: Astros -210 (bet $210 to win $100) | Tigers +170 (bet $100 to win $170)
  • Against the spread/ATS: Astros -1.5 (-135) | Tigers +1.5 (+115)
  • Over/Under: 7 (O: -115 | U: -105)

Prediction

Astros 4, Tigers 1

Money line (ML)

The ASTROS (-210) are the lean in the opener of this doubleheader, albeit a little bit on the expensive side. Valdez has been on fire lately, winning four consecutive starts, and Houston has won 11 in a row overall. The Tigers were buried 12-3 in the series opener Thursday before Friday’s postponement.

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Run line/Against the spread (ATS)

The ASTROS -1.5 (-135) covered the run line in the series opener and in each of their last six victories. Fourteen of their last 15 wins were also by 2 or more runs.

Over/Under (O/U)

The UNDER 7 (-105) is the play in this seven-inning front end of the double-dip. Valdez has been close to untouchable in June, and Mize has been limiting the damage lately too. It also helps that the winds will be gusting in at 14-17 mph from right field, helping to knock down any long balls.

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