The Houston Astros (50-33) and Cleveland Indians (42-37) continue a four-game series Saturday at Progressive Field with a 7:15 p.m. ET first pitch. Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook‘s lines around the Astros vs. Indians odds with MLB picks and predictions.
RHP Jake Odorizzi is the projected starting pitcher for the Astros. He is 2-3 with a 4.08 ERA, 0.96 WHIP, 9.7 K/9 and 2.5 BB/9 in 35 1/3 IP over eight starts and one long-relief appearance.
With the exception of back-to-back starts against Boston in early June Odorizzi has been almost perfect in his low-inning role with the Astros since returning from the IL. He totes a 15-inning scoreless streak into this start against the struggling Cleveland Indians who have a .691 OPS over the last two weeks.
RHP Eli Morgan is the projected starting pitcher for the Indians. In four starts Morgan has thrown 16 1/3 innings allowing 17 ER and has a 1.53 WHIP with 2 BB and 19 K.
Morgan has been undone around the margins in logging a 9.37 ERA and has yielded a ton of fly balls while coughing up 6 home runs.
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Astros at Indians odds, lines, picks and prediction
MLB odds courtesy of BetMGM; access USA TODAY Sports for a full list. Odds last updated at 11:03 a.m. ET.
- Money line: Astros -160 (bet $160 to win $100) | Indians +135 (bet $100 to win $135)
- Against the spread/ATS: Astros -1.5 (-105) | Indians +1.5 (-115)
- Over/Under: 10 (O: -105 | U: -115)
Prediction
Astros 5, Indians 4
Money line (ML)
Houston has scored 13 runs in taking the first two games of this series. Since June 4 the Astros have scored a whopping 6.5 runs per game on the strength of an .879 OPS.
Cleveland has lost four in a row and six of its last seven.
The Indians have the question mark on the mound. Peg HOUSTON (-160) as being a solid play.
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Run line/Against the spread (ATS)
PASS on the run line to risk less on the Astros. With some lean toward both starting pitchers and the Cleveland bullpen, and with an Under tilt as well, only a plus-money tag would make sense here.
Over/Under (O/U)
On a low-humidity night on Lake Erie and with some healthy respect of the Indians relief corps and both defenses, BACK THE UNDER 10 (-115).
Houston’s scoring binge has been fueled by a high average on balls in play (.332 over the last two weeks), and Statcast quality-of-contact metrics indicate that the Astros have been fortunate to own a .797 OPS overall.
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