The Houston Astros (45-28) will go for the sweep of their three-game series against the Baltimore Orioles (23-50) Wednesday. First pitch is set for 7:05 p.m. ET from Oriole Park at Camden Yards. Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook‘s lines around the Astros vs. Orioles odds with MLB picks and predictions.
RHP Jose Urquidy is the projected starting pitcher for the Astros. He is 5-3 with a 3.65 ERA, 1.00 WHIP, 7.8 K/9 and 1.6 BB/9 in 69 IP over 12 starts.
Urquidy has won four of his last seven starts, allowing more than three runs in that span just once. He has 7 IP in each of his last two starts, allowing a total of 5 ER while picking up 13 K. He has never faced the Orioles in his career.
RHP Thomas Eshelman is the projected starting pitcher for the Orioles. He is 0-0 with a 1.93 ERA. This season he has just one appearance, a June 18 start against Toronto, where he allowed 1 ER on 3 H and 1 BB with 3 K across 4 2/3 IP.
In his career against the Astros, he has pitched just 2/3 of an inning and gave up one hit but no runs.
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Astros at Orioles odds, lines, picks and prediction
MLB odds courtesy of BetMGM; access USA TODAY Sports for a full list. Odds last updated at 10:25 a.m. ET.
- Money line: Astros -200 (bet $200 to win $100) | Orioles +165 (bet $100 to win $165)
- Against the spread/ATS: Astros -1.5 (-125) | Orioles +1.5 (+105)
- Over/Under: 9.5 (O: -115 | U: -105)
Prediction
Astros 7, Orioles 3
Money line (ML)
The bullpen will play a big role in this game for the Orioles with Eshelman getting the start, which doesn’t bode well for Baltimore. The Astros have won seven of Urquidy’s last eight starts and have averaged 7 runs per game in that span.
However, with the money line as chalky as it is, I would PASS and instead bet on the spread.
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Run line/Against the spread (ATS)
The Astros have covered the spread in seven of their last eight games when Urquidy starts, a trend that I think will continue on Wednesday night. He should be good for at least six or seven innings against a weaker Orioles lineup.
I like the ASTROS -1.5 (-125) tonight on the road.
Over/Under (O/U)
The total surprisingly went Under on Tuesday night when the Astros beat the Orioles 3-1. It was a strong pitching night for both sides, but Houston should bounce back with a better performance at the plate. The last two times they scored three or fewer runs in a game they came back with 14 runs and 7 runs scored the following day.
Bet the OVER 9.5 (-115) and hope the Astros carry the bulk of the weight by tagging Eshelman for a bunch of runs.
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