Here’s the SP+ prediction for Florida football vs. South Carolina

SP+ thinks the Gators will win comfortably despite not covering.

The Gators are back in action against South Carolina desperately looking to get back in the win column after a 34-7 loss to Georgia set it back to .500 on the season. Florida is just 2-7 in its last nine Power Five games, and luckily for UF, it draws a winnable matchup this week against the South Carolina Gamecocks.

But that game comes on the road, and it could prove to be a bit challenging for a UF team that doesn’t have much to play for at this point.

ESPN’s SP+ analytics system, which is actually fairly high on the Gators and has them ranked in the top 10, projects that they will win on Saturday by a two-score margin, but it doesn’t expect them to cover an 18-point spread against the Gamecocks.

Instead, it predicts a 35-20 win for UF, which Florida fans would likely take at this point. South Carolina can’t do much offensively, but its run game has found some success, and considering how little the Gators were able to adjust to the run against LSU, that could be a fruitful avenue.

The Gamecocks are actually solid defensively, and with it looking less and less likely that quarterback Anthony Richardson will suit up on Saturday after suffering a concussion, we could see some of the offensive struggles we saw before he took over against the Tigers.

UF will be heavily favored in its four remaining games, and an 8-4 finish is still very much in reach. But that starts with winning in Columbia at night on Saturday.

Here are the full SP+ predictions for the week.

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