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The Gonzaga Bulldogs (16-6, 7-2 WCC) and the Saint Mary’s Gaels (19-3, 9-0) meet Saturday at University Credit Union Pavilion in Moraga, Calif. Tip-off is scheduled for 11 p.m. ET (ESPN/ESPN+). Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s college basketball odds around the Gonzaga vs. Saint Mary’s odds, and make our expert college basketball picks and predictions.
The Bulldogs have won 2 in a row since falling 103-99 to Santa Clara at home last Saturday. The Zags averaged 101.5 PPG in those 2 rebound victories, while allowing just 61.0 PPG. The Over is on a 4-0 run, while going 6-1 in the past 7 games. Gonzaga has scored 88 or more points in 6 straight contests, too.
For the Gaels, they’re the only unbeaten team in WCC play, winning 9 in a row in the league since Dec. 28. Saint Mary’s has covered at a 7-1 against the spread (ATS) pace in the past 8 games, while cashing low in 3 of the past 4.
In this series, Gonzaga and SMC have split the past 8 meetings, while also going 4-4 ATS. The Under has hit in 4 consecutive meetings, too.
– Rankings: USA TODAY Sports Men’s Basketball Coaches Poll
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Gonzaga at Saint Mary’s odds
Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 11:50 a.m. ET.
- Moneyline (ML): Gonzaga -125 (bet $125 to win $100) | Saint Mary’s +105 (bet $100 to win $105)
- Against the spread: Gonzaga -1.5 (-110) | Saint Mary’s +1.5 (-110)
- Over/Under (O/U): 144.5 (O: -110 | U: -110)
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Gonzaga at Saint Mary’s picks and predictions
Prediction
Saint Mary’s 79, Gonzaga 75
Moneyline
SAINT MARY’S (+105) is a solid play at home as short ‘dogs in this conference clash between rivals.
Gonzaga (-125) has been good, but not great this season, and Saint Mary’s has yet to lose in conference play. The Gaels are worth a look, as their past 3 home victories are by an average margin of 25.0 points per game (PPG), with 4 in a row by double digits.
Against the spread
Playing Saint Mary’s +1.5 (-110) makes no sense, as if you like the Gaels, going with the moneyline is a much better value. Unless you strongly believe Gonzaga -1.5 (-110) is going to win, but only by a single point, go with the Gaels on the moneyline instead.
Saint Mary’s is 7-1 ATS in the past 8 games, including 3 straight covers at home.
For Gonzaga, it is just 2-4 ATS in the past 6 outings, while cashing at a 3-11 ATS clip since Dec. 7. On the road or in neutral-site games, the Zags are just 2-5 ATS in the past 7 outings.
PASS, and look to the moneyline instead.
Over/Under
OVER 144.5 (-110) is a strong play in this conference tilt in Moraga.
Gonzaga has scored 81 or more points in 9 consecutive outings, but it could struggle against the suffocating defense of Saint Mary’s. The Over is 6-1 in the past 7 games for the Zags, while the Over has a slight 4-3 edge in the past 7 for the Gaels.
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