Golden State Warriors vs. Miami Heat odds, tips and betting trends | October 27

The Miami Heat (2-3) take on the Golden State Warriors (2-2) on Thursday, October 27, 2022 at Chase Center. It tips at 7:00 PM ET on NBA TV, NBCS-BA, and BSSUN. The Warriors are a 6-point favorite against the Heat when the Warriors and the Heat …

The Miami Heat (2-3) take on the Golden State Warriors (2-2) on Thursday, October 27, 2022 at Chase Center. It tips at 7:00 PM ET on NBA TV, NBCS-BA, and BSSUN.

The Warriors are a 6-point favorite against the Heat when the Warriors and the Heat square off. The matchup features a point total of 227.

Warriors vs. Heat Betting Odds

Odds provided by Tipico Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list.

  • Spread: Golden State -6
  • Total: 227
  • Moneyline: Golden State -241, Miami +198

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Heat at Warriors odds, spread, & more

Prediction

  • Pick ATS: Heat (+ 6)
  • Pick OU:

    Under (227)

  • Prediction:
    Warriors 110 – Heat 105

Moneyline

  • Golden State finished with a 44-18 record in games it was listed as the moneyline favorite last season (winning 71% of those games).
  • When playing as a moneyline favorite with odds of -241 or shorter last year, Golden State had a record of 30-9 (76.9%).
  • Golden State has a 70.7% chance to win this contest based on the moneyline’s implied probability.
  • Miami has not yet won as the moneyline underdog this season, going 0-7.
  • Miami has not yet played as a moneyline underdog of +198 or longer.
  • Based on this game’s moneyline, Miami’s implied win probability is 33.6%.

Against the spread

  • Last year, the Warriors recorded 111 points per game, 5.4 more points than the 105.6 the Heat gave up.
  • Golden State had a 33-18-2 record against the spread and a 41-12 record overall last season when scoring more than 105.6 points.
  • Miami had a 40-16 record against the spread and a 45-11 record overall last season when giving up fewer than 111 points.
  • The Heat scored only 4.5 more points per game last year (110) than the Warriors gave up (105.5).
  • Miami went 40-15 against the spread and 44-11 overall when it scored more than 105.5 points last season.
  • Golden State had an ATS record of 32-17-3 and a 42-10 record overall last season when its opponents scored fewer than 110 points.
  • Last season, the Warriors were at the 15th spot in the NBA’s scoring charts (111 PPG), while the Heat allowed the fourth-fewest points per game (105.6) in the league.
  • The 17th-ranked scoring NBA team was Miami a season ago (110 PPG), while the Golden State squad was the third-ranked defense (105.5 PPG) in the league.
  • The Warriors scored a total of 454 more points than their opponents last year (an average of 5.5 per game), and the Heat out-scored opponents by 365 points on the season (4.4 more per game).

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Over/Under

  • Golden State had an average implied point total of 113.7 last season, which is 3.3 points lower than its implied total in Thursday’s game (117).
  • Last season, Golden State put up more than 117 points in 28 games.
  • Miami’s average implied point total last season (110.2 points) is 0.8 points lower than its implied total in this matchup (111 points).
  • Miami put up more than 111 points 14 times a season ago.

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How to watch Warriors vs. Heat

  • Game Day: Thursday, October 27, 2022
  • Game Time: 7:00 PM ET
  • TV Channel: NBA TV, NBCS-BA, and BSSUN
  • Location: San Francisco, California
  • Arena: Chase Center
  • TV Channel: NBA TV
  • Livestream: Watch on fuboTV!

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