The Golden State Warriors (41-13) head to Salt Lake City Wednesday to play the Utah Jazz (33-21). The tip-off at Vivint Smart Home Arena is scheduled for 10 p.m. ET. Below, we look at the Warriors at Jazz odds and lines, and make our expert NBA picks, predictions and bets.
Golden State has won nine consecutive games (4-3-2 against the spread (ATS) with the latest being a 110-98 victory over the Thunder, pushing as 12-point road underdogs in OKC.
Utah is on a 3-game winning streak (2-1 ATS) with victories over the Nuggets, Nets and Knicks. Over the past two weeks, the Jazz are 3-3 straight up (SU) and 2-4 ATS with a minus-2.3 ATS margin, according to CleaningTheGlass.com (CTG).
The Warriors have won four straight versus the Jazz (3-0-1 ATS) including both meetings earlier this season (123-116 New Year’s Day and 94-92 Jan. 23).
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Warriors at Jazz odds, spread and lines
Odds provided by Tipico Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 2:30 p.m. ET.
- Money line: Warriors +102 (bet $100 to win $102) | Jazz -125 (bet $125 to win $100)
- Against the spread (ATS): Warriors +1.5 (-108) | Jazz -1.5 (-112)
- Over/Under (O/U): 223.5 (O: -115 | U: -107)
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Warriors at Jazz key injuries
Warriors
- PF Draymond Green (back) out
- SF Andre Iguodala (back) out
- SG Klay Thompson (injury management) out
- C James Wiseman (knee) out
Jazz
- C Rudy Gobert (calf) out
- PF Rudy Gay (back) questionable
- SF Joe Ingles (knee) out
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Warriors at Jazz odds, lines, picks and predictions
Prediction
Warriors 118, Jazz 113
Money line
“LEAN” to the WARRIORS (+102) only because I prefer to take the points with Golden State.
Either way, the Warriors are the right side because they are playing much better and play better versus quality competition.
For instance, Golden State is 11-6 SU versus teams in the top-10 of efficiency differential (per CTG). The Warriors have the best adjusted net rating versus top-10 teams (plus-4.6), per CTG.
On the other hand, Utah is 6-9 SU versus top-10 teams with a minus-2.5 ATS margin, per CTG. The ATS margin applies to this game since it’s priced as a coin-flip.
Against the spread
BET the WARRIORS +1.5 (-108) for 1 unit based on the aforementioned rationale and since this is a Pros vs. Joe’s game with the “wiseguys” on Golden State.
According to Pregame.com, more than 60% of the cash is on the Warriors, but nearly 70% of the bets placed are on the Jazz. Typically, in sports betting, it’s profitable to follow the money – especially when it’s fading the public.
Furthermore, Golden State is 15-7-1 ATS versus teams with a winning record (8-5 ATS on the road in those spots) and Utah is 6-15-1 ATS versus winning teams (3-9 ATS at home in those spots).
For the record, the WARRIORS +1.5 (-108) is my preferred bet in this contest.
Over/Under
Slight “LEAN” to the OVER 223.5 (-115) for a quarter-unit because I’m more comfortable with betting on the Warriors. Also, a majority of the market is betting the Over, and I hate following the herd in sports betting.
But, Golden State is 6-1 O/U in their last seven as underdogs, and the Over has cashed in eight of the past nine Warriors-Jazz meetings. Plus Utah’s defense has been mediocre since Gobert has been sidelined with a leg injury.
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