The Golden State Warriors (42-38) open a 2-game road trip to end the regular season Friday night, taking on the division champion Sacramento Kings (48-32). Tip-off is 10 p.m. ET at Golden 1 Center. Below, we analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s lines around the Warriors vs. Kings odds, and make our expert NBA picks and predictions.
The Warriors are the No. 6 seed in the Western Conference, and are tied with the Los Angeles Clippers at 42-38, but L.A. holds a tiebreaker. They are coming off a 136-125 home win over the Oklahoma City Thunder Tuesday night, covering the 7.5-point spread as favorites.
The Kings have clinched a division title and a playoff berth. They are 3rd in the West. They last played Wednesday, losing 123-119 on the road to the Dallas Mavericks, covering the 6-point spread as underdogs.
The Warriors lead the season series 2-1.
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Warriors at Kings odds
Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 2:40 p.m. ET.
- Moneyline (ML): Warriors -375 (bet $375 to win $100) | Kings +300 (bet $100 to win $300)
- Against the spread (ATS): Kings -9.5 (-110) | Kings +9.5 (-110)
- Over/Under (O/U): 235.5 (O: -105 | U: -115)
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Warriors at Kings key injuries
Warriors
- F Andre Iguodala (wrist) out
- G Ryan Rollins (foot) out
- F Andrew Wiggins (reconditioning) out
Kings
- G Matthew Dellavedova (finger) out
- G De’Aaron Fox (ankle) questionable
- F Kevin Huerter (knee) questionable
- F Trey Lyles (shoulder) questionable
- G Davion Mitchell (knee) questionable
- G Malik Monk (leg) questionable
- F Keegan Murray (foot) questionable
- F Domantas Sabonis (ankle) questionable
For most recent updates: Official NBA injury report.
Warriors at Kings picks and predictions
Prediction
Warriors 119, Kings 114
Moneyline
The Warriors have been awful on the road all season, going 9-30. They have won 2 of their last 3 road matchups.
The home team has won every matchup between the 2 teams this season, but Sacramento appears to be resting players now that they have their seed locked up for the postseason.
But betting the Warriors to win outright doesn’t make sense, having to wager 3.75 times what you can win.
PASS.
Against the spread
Here is where I don’t trust Golden State. They are 9-28-1 ATS on the road this season.
They are 0-4 ATS in their last 4 games following an ATS win. They are 1-5 ATS in their last 6 games following a straight-up win.
The Kings, though, are 18-21-3 ATS at home. They have covered the spread in 4 of their last 5 games. They are 8-1 ATS in their last 9 games following a loss.
BET KINGS +9.5 (-110).
Over/Under
Two of their 3 meetings this season have had totals Over tonight’s projected total. Their lowest total in a game this season in their meetings has been 229.
The Under is 4-1 in the Warriors’ last 5 Friday games.
Five of the Kings’ last 8 games have had 234 or fewer total points. The same is the case for the Warriors.
BET UNDER 235.5 (-115).
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