The Golden State Warriors and Sacramento Kings play Game 7 of their Western Conference 1st-round series Sunday at Golden 1 Center. Tip-off is scheduled for 3:30 p.m. ET (ABC). Below, we analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s lines around the Warriors vs. Kings odds, and make our expert NBA picks and predictions.
The series is tied 3-3 and the Kings have covered the spread in 4 of the 6 games.
The Warriors failed to cover as 6.5-point home favorites Friday in a 118-99 Game 6 loss vs. the Kings as the Under (236) hit. G Stephen Curry led the Warriors with 29 points, but their bench was outscored 52-21.
G Malik Monk had 28 points off the bench for the Kings and G De’Aaron Fox added 26 points and 11 assists. Sacramento covered for the entire game and won on the road vs. Golden State for the 1st time since Feb. 25, 2020.
[gambcom-standard rankid=”3011″ ]
[gambcom-standard rankid=”3012″ ]
Warriors at Kings odds
Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 11:46 a.m. ET.
- Moneyline (ML): Warriors -105 (bet $105 to win $100) | Kings -115 (bet $115 to win $100)
- Against the spread (ATS): Warriors +1.5 (-115) | Kings -1.5 (-105)
- Over/Under (O/U): 230.5 (O: -110 | U: -110)
Play our free daily Pick’em Challenge and win! Play now!
Warriors at Kings key injuries
Warriors
- F Andre Iguodala (wrist) out
Kings
- None
For most recent updates: Official NBA injury report.
Warriors at Kings picks and predictions
Prediction
Kings 120, Warriors 111
Moneyline
PASS.
The Warriors have won just 11 road games this entire season. The Kings (-115) should win, but there is no need to pay the higher price on the moneyline when Sacramento would likely cover its short spread with a victory. Lay the points and/or bet the total instead.
Against the spread
BET KINGS -1.5 (-105).
The Warriors have been the least profitable away team ATS this season, covering at just 27.9% (12-31 ATS).
The Kings will be looking for their 1st playoff series win since 2004 and the home crowd may be overwhelming for a Warriors team that is just 16-38-1 ATS in its last 55 road games vs. teams with a winning home record.
Sacramento has been the better team this season and the market is undervaluing it due to the Warriors’ past success. The Kings should Light the Beam Sunday and score with ease vs. the Warriors’ 28th-ranked away defense.
Over/Under
BET OVER 230.5 (-110).
The Over is 38-14 in Golden State’s last 52 road games vs. teams with a winning home record and 25-11-1 in Sacramento’s last 37 at home vs. teams that are sub-.500 on the road.
The Over has hit in 5 of the Kings’ last 7 after a win by more than 10 points and should cash again Sunday as the Warriors continue to struggle defensively on the road.
[gambcom-standard rankid=”5″ ]
For more sports betting picks and tips, check out SportsbookWire.com and BetFTW.
Follow Corey Scott on Twitter. Follow SportsbookWire on Twitter and like us on Facebook.
Access more NBA coverage:
HoopsHype | Bulls Wire | Celtics Wire | Nets Wire | Rockets Wire | Sixers Wire | Thunder Wire | Warriors Wire | LeBron Wire | Rookie Wire | List Wire
[lawrence-newsletter]
[lawrence-auto-related count=3 category=1368]