The Golden State Warriors (31-11) travel to Target Center Sunday to take on the Minnesota Timberwolves (20-22). Tip-off is scheduled for 8 p.m. ET. Below, we look at the Warriors vs. Timberwolves odds and lines, and make our expert NBA picks, predictions and bets.
After an electric start to the season, the Warriors have lost 4 of their last 6. This will also be their last of a four-game road trip that they’re 1-2 on.
Despite recent struggles, the Warriors have still been extremely profitable to bet on, 24-16-2 ATS. The Wolves are also among the 13 teams that are covering at over a 50% clip, 22-20 ATS.
They’re entering as the far healthier side, which has them listed as home favorites – a situation they’re 5-7 ATS in.
Warriors at Timberwolves odds, spread and lines
Odds provided by Tipico Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 1:50 p.m. ET.
- Money line: Warriors +155 (bet $100 to win $155) | Timberwolves -190 (bet $190 to win $100)
- Against the spread (ATS): Warriors +4.5 (-108) | Timberwolves -4.5 (-112)
- Over/Under (O/U): 215.5 (O: -115 | U: -107)
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Warriors at Timberwolves key injuries
Warriors
- G Stephen Curry (hand) out
- F Draymond Green (calf) out
- G Gary Payton II (back) questionable
Timberwolves
- None
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Warriors at Timberwolves odds, lines, picks and predictions
Prediction
Timberwolves 116, Warriors 104
Money line
PASS on the money line.
The Warriors are without too many key players to assume they’ll pull off the road upset. For the sake of value on the Timberwolves, I’d prefer to bet the spread.
Against the spread
BET on the TIMBERWOLVES -4.5 (-112).
The Warriors are just too injured at the moment.
They’re the significantly better team at full strength, but the Warriors will be down three-time All-Star and DPOY candidate Draymond Green and MVP candidate Stephen Curry. It’s just too much to overcome.
The Wolves, on the other hand, have won 4 of their last 6. With defensive-minded Patrick Beverley likely going to be on Jordan Poole, one of the Warriors’ premier scorers, I’ll take the Wolves and the points.
The Warriors are 3-5 without Green on the court this season.
Over/Under
“LEAN” to the OVER 215.5 (-115).
The Warriors’ key defensive-minded players will be sidelined.
Payton II will be playing limited minutes it appears if he does take the court. Without Payton II or Green, Karl-Anthony Towns and Anthony Edwards should be able to have their way.
That said, the Dubs’ league-best defense won’t be as dominant. The Wolves’ Over has also hit in 3 of their last 4. The Warriors’ Over has hit in 2 of their last 3 and in 5 of their last 10.
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