Golden State Warriors at Memphis Grizzlies odds, picks and prediction

Analyzing Tuesday’s Golden State Warriors at Memphis Grizzlies and lines, with NBA expert picks, predictions and best bets.

The Golden State Warriors (30-9) travel to FedExForum Tuesday for an 8 p.m. ET tip-off with the Memphis Grizzlies (28-14). Below, we look at the Warriors vs. Grizzlies odds and lines, and make our expert NBA picks, predictions and bets.

Golden State broke out of a two-game slump by waxing the Cleveland Cavaliers 96-82 as a 6.5-point home favorite in G Klay Thompson‘s return to action following multiple leg injuries over the past two seasons.

The Warriors are 3-3 straight-up (SU), 2-4 ATS and 2-4 O/U in the last 14 days with the 15th-ranked adjusted net rating at plus-0.9 points per 100 possessions, according to CleaningTheGlass.com (CTG).

Memphis is riding a nine-game win streak with the latest being a 127-119 victory against the Los Angeles Lakers as a 3-point road underdog.

The Grizzlies have covered the spread in six of their seven wins over the last two weeks and have the fourth-best adjusted net rating at plus-13.1 points per 100 possessions, per CTG.

These teams are split 1-1 SU and ATS through their first two regular-season meetings. Memphis eliminated Golden State last season in the inaugural postseason play-in tourney with a 117-112 overtime win.

Warriors at Grizzlies odds, spread and lines

Odds provided by Tipico Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 1:40 p.m. ET.

  • Money line: Warriors -130 (bet $130 to win $100) | Grizzlies +105 (bet $100 to win $105)
  • Against the spread (ATS): Warriors -1.5 (-120) | Grizzlies +1.5 (-105)
  • Over/Under (O/U): 220.5 (O: -112 | U: -108)

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Warriors at Grizzlies key injuries

Warriors

  • PF Draymond Green (shoulder) out
  • SG Gary Payton II (ankle) questionable
  • Otto Porter Jr. (shoulder) questionable

Grizzlies

  • C Steven Adams (health and safety protocols) questionable
  • SG Dillon Brooks (ankle) out

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Warriors at Grizzlies odds, lines, picks and predictions

Prediction

Grizzlies 114, Warriors 110

Money line

BET the GRIZZLIES (+105) for 1 unit and/or SPRINKLE on their money line and wager more on Memphis’s spread if it gets to 2.5 points or higher.

However, the Grizzlies have been playing some of the best basketball in the Association since the middle of December and has a strength-on-weakness edge with ball security.

Golden State has the second-worst offensive turnover rate and is 19th in points off of turnovers allowed per game.

On the other hand, Memphis has the sixth-best defensive turnover rate and scores the fifth-most points off of turnovers per game.

The Warriors could also be without their third- (Payton II), fourth (Draymond), and fifth-best players (Porter) by adjusted on/off net rating (per CTG) for this game.

BET the GRIZZLIES (+105).

Against the spread

PASS unless Memphis’s spread gets to +2.5 or higher in which case I’d go light on the Grizzlies outright and hit the Grizzlies plus the points harder.

Over/Under

Slight “LEAN” to the OVER 220.5 (-112) for a small wager, if at all, because there’s been a sharp line move towards the Over. This meeting’s total opened at 218.5 and has been steamed up 2 points.

That line movement could be solely based on the return of Klay, which makes sense, but is a little too obvious. Typically, in sports betting, the obvious plays aren’t very profitable.

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