The Golden State Warriors (26-25) meet the Denver Nuggets (35-16) Thursday. Tip-off from Ball Arena is scheduled for 9 p.m. ET (NBA TV). Below, we analyze Tipico Sportsbook’s lines around the Warriors vs. Nuggets odds, and make our expert NBA picks and predictions.
The Warriors failed to cover a 5.5 spread and lost 119-114 in overtime on Wednesday to the Minnesota Timberwolves, and now face the quick turnaround with a trip to the Mile High City. The OT loss snapped a 3-game win streak, although the Warriors are a respectable 5-3 against the spread (ATS) in the last 8 outings.
The Nuggets posted a 122-113 win against the New Orleans Pelicans on Tuesday, covering as a 6.5-point home favorite and halting a 2-game losing streak. The Nuggs are 3-1 ATS in the last 4 games and the Over has cashed in 3 in a row.
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Warriors at Nuggets odds
Provided by Tipico Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 5:59 a.m. ET.
- Moneyline (ML): Warriors +500 (bet $100 to win $500) | Nuggets -700 (bet $700 to win $100)
- Against the spread (ATS): Warriors +12.5 (-115) | Nuggets -12.5 (-105)
- Over/Under (O/U): 233.5 (O: -110 | U: -110)
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Warriors at Nuggets key injuries
Warriors
- G Andre Iguodala (hip) out
Nuggets
- F Aaron Gordon (ankle) questionable
- F Jack White (hip) out
For most recent updates: Official NBA injury report.
Warriors at Nuggets picks and predictions
Prediction
Nuggets 121, Warriors 115
Moneyline
The Nuggets (-700) will cost you 7 times your potential return, and that’s way too much. Denver won the 1st meeting in Oakland, but it won by just 5 points. You can expect the Warriors (+500) to give the Nuggets another solid effort in the Mile High City.
PASS.
Against the spread
The WARRIORS +12.5 (-115) catching double digits is quite disrespectful. The last time Golden State was a double-digit underdog, Jan. 20 in Cleveland, the Dubs won outright by a 120-114 score as a 10.5-point underdog. In fact, as a ‘dog of 4.5 or more points, Golden State has covered in 4 in a row, winning 3 of the games outright.
Over/Under
OVER 233.5 (-105) is the best play in this game.
The Over is 7-3-1 in the last 11 games overall for the Warriors, while cashing at a 4-1 clip in the last 5 against winning teams. The Over is 4-1 in the last 5 when working on no rest, too.
The Over is 4-1 in the last 5 games against winning teams for Golden State, while also going 4-1 in the past 5 games for Denver against teams with a winning overall record.
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