Golden State Warriors at Denver Nuggets odds, picks and prediction

Previewing Thursday’s Golden State Warriors at Denver Nuggets NBA betting odds and lines, with basketball picks, tips and predictions.

The Golden State Warriors (6-5) and the Denver Nuggets (5-6) hook up Thursday for a 10 p.m. ET tip at Ball Arena. Below, we analyze the Warriors-Nuggets NBA betting odds and lines, with picks and predictions.

Warriors at Nuggets: Betting odds, spread and lines

Odds via BetMGM; access USA TODAY Sports’ betting odds for a full list. Lines last updated at 7:35 a.m. ET.

  • Money line: Warriors +165 (bet $100 to win $165) | Nuggets -200 (bet $200 to win $100)
  • Against the spread/ATS: Warriors +5.5 (-120) | Nuggets -5.5 (+100)
  • Over/Under: 227.5 (O: -115 | U: -105)

Warriors at Nuggets: Key Injuries

Warriors

  • F Marquese Chriss (leg) out
  • F Eric Paschall (illness) probable
  • F Alen Smailagic (knee) out
  • G Klay Thompson (Achilles’) out

Nuggets

  • G Gary Harris (personal) questionable
  • F Michael Porter Jr. (personal) out
  • G Greg Whittington (knee) out

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Warriors at Nuggets: Odds, betting lines, predictions and picks

Prediction

Nuggets 121, Warriors 112

Money line (ML)

The Nuggets (-200) will cost you twice as much as your potential return, which is a little much since the Warriors (+165) have been playing much better than last season, and they’re above .500.

AVOID, and look to the spread instead.

Against the spread (ATS)

The NUGGETS -5.5 (+100) are a strong choice, especially at even money. While the Warriors +5.5 (-120) have failed to cover in consecutive games just once this season, the first three outings. All of those games were on the road, and they’re just 2-2 SU/1-3 ATS in four outings away from the Bay Area this season. While the Warriors are 5-0 ATS in the past five meetings, and the Nuggets are just 1-5-1 ATS in the past seven at home, play Denver due to Golden State’s struggles on the road.

Over/Under (O/U)

OVER 227.5 (-115) is the way to go, especially after dropping a couple of points. The over has hit in eight of the past 11 meetings in the Mile High City. The Over is also 4-1 in Golden State’s past five after a straight up loss, while hitting in 12 of the past 16 for Denver against teams with a winning overall record. The Over is also an impressive 9-0 in Denver’s past nine while playing on one day of rest.

Hoops Hype: 

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