The Golden State Warriors (36-34) battle the Atlanta Hawks (34-35) Friday. Tip from State Farm Arena is set for 7:30 p.m. ET (NBA TV). Below, we analyze Tipico Sportsbook’s lines around the Warriors vs. Hawks odds, and make our expert NBA picks and predictions.
The Warriors beat the Hawks 143-141 at home on Jan. 2, covering as 1.5-point home favorites. The Over 236.5 hit in the two sides’ lone matchup so far this season.
The Warriors lost to the Los Angeles Clippers 134-126 Wednesday, failing to cover as 3-point road underdogs. They have now lost 9 straight road games, failing to cover the spread in the last 6 of them. Golden State is 7-5 against the spread (ATS) over its last 12 games.
The Hawks lost to the Minnesota Timberwolves 136-115 Monday, failing to cover as 4.5-point home favorites. Atlanta has lost and failed to cover in its last 2 home games. The Hawks are 30-39 ATS on the season.
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Warriors at Hawks odds
Provided by Tipico Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 9:45 a.m. ET.
- Moneyline (ML): Warriors +140 (bet $100 to win $140) | Hawks -160 (bet $160 to win $100)
- Against the spread (ATS): Warriors +3.5 (-108) | Hawks -3.5 (-112)
- Over/Under (O/U): 247.5 (O: -108 | U: -112)
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Warriors at Hawks key injuries
Warriors
- G Stephen Curry (thumb) questionable
- F Draymond Green (suspension) out
- F Andrew Wiggins (personal) out
Hawks
- None
For most recent updates: Official NBA injury report.
Warriors at Hawks picks and predictions
Prediction
Hawks 125, Warriors 120
Moneyline
PASS.
The Warriors’ (+140) well-documented road struggles made them unplayable in this spot and there is more value on the spread with the Hawks (-160) who should by cover such a short spread.
Against the spread
BET HAWKS -3.5 (-112).
The Warriors have been awful on the road, and this isn’t a recent problem. The Dubs are a league-worst 8-25 ATS on the road and to note how bad that is, the 2nd-worst San Antonio Spurs are 11-22 ATS — that’s a 24.2% cover rate versus a 33.3% rate.
The Warriors’ struggles should continue without Green and Wiggins, two of their most impactful players. Curry’s questionable tag also makes Atlanta a strong play.
The Hawks are 14-19 ATS at home, but they are 3-3 straight up and 2-4 ATS over their last 6 home games. Back the HAWKS -3.5 (-112) to cover this short spread.
Over/Under
LEAN UNDER 247.5 (-112).
The Hawks have cashed the Over in 4 of their last 5 games but they have scored more than 122 points in just 1 of their last 4 games. They will need to score at will to hit this number, as the Warriors will be down Wiggins and Green, a top scorer and facilitator.
The Hawks should also have the length in players like G Dejounte Murray to guard G Klay Thompson. The Warriors are 4-7-1 O/U in their last 12 games as well. Back the UNDER 247.5 (-112).
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