The Philadelphia Phillies (21-19) and Miami Marlins (20-19) play the first game of a doubleheader at Marlins Park Friday at 5:10 p.m. ET. We analyze the Phillies-Marlins MLB betting odds and lines, with picks and best bets.
Phillies at Marlins: Projected starting pitchers
RHP Aaron Nola vs. LHP Trevor Rogers
Nola has posted a 4-3 record, 2.74 ERA and 0.95 WHIP with 67 strikeouts across 49 1/3 innings over eight starts. He ranks 10th in the league in strikeouts and 15th in ERA.
- Nola hasn’t faced the Marlins since July 24, his first start of the season. He allowed four earned runs on five hits and a walk with seven strikeouts over 5 1/3 innings in a 5-2 loss.
- Nola lost his last start, but he has been solid over the past three. He is 2-1 with a 2.21 ERA, six walks and 27 strikeouts over 20 1/3 innings during the span.
Also see: BaseballHQ Fantasy Baseball
Rogers has posted a 1-0 record, 3.00 ERA and 1.20 WHIP with 21 strikeouts across 15 innings over three starts.
- Rogers has built up his stamina, pitching six innings for his first quality start last time out in a no-decision at the Tampa Bay Rays Sunday. He struck out a career-high 10 batters, too.
- The Marlins are 2-1 in Rogers’ three starts this season, including 2-0 vs. NL East teams.
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Phillies at Marlins: Key injuries
(List of injuries around the league)
Phillies
- OF Jay Bruce (quadriceps) out
- 2B/OF Scott Kingery (back) out
- OF Roman Quinn (concussion) out
Marlins
- 2B Jon Berti (finger) out
- C Francisco Cervelli (concussion) out
- IF Logan Forsythe (oblique) out
- OF Magneuris Sierra (hamstring) out
Phillies at Marlins: Odds, lines, picks and betting tips
MLB odds courtesy of BetMGM; access USA TODAY Sports for a full list. Odds last updated at 6:11 a.m. ET.
Prediction
Phillies 5, Marlins 3
Moneyline (ML)
The PHILLIES (-152) are moderate favorites in the doubleheader opener behind Nola, as they look to bounce back from a stunning 7-6 loss against the Marlins (+135). Despite Friday’s loss, the Phils are 11-4 in the past 15 against NL East foes, and 5-1 in their past six against left-handed starting pitchers.
New to sports betting? A winning $10 bet on Philadelphia returns a profit of $6.58, while a $10 wager on Miami nets a profit of $13.50 if it wins.
Run line/Against the spread (ATS)
The PHILLIES (-1.5, +135) are a nice play in the doubleheader opener. The Phils were involved in a twinbill Tuesday, splitting with the Boston Red Sox. They won Game 1 and lost the nightcap. You’ll be going against the grain here, as Philly’s past four wins have been one-run games.
Over/Under (O/U)
OVER 6 (-110) is the play as Philadelphia has hit the Over in four of their past five games, while the Over is 5-1-1 in Miami’s past seven. This seven-inning doubleheader opener should see a fair share of runs.
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