Fresno State at San Diego State odds, picks and prediction

Analyzing Saturday’s Fresno State Bulldogs at San Diego State Aztecs odds and lines, with college football expert picks, predictions and best bets.

The Fresno State Bulldogs (6-2, 3-1 Mountain West) and No. 20 San Diego State Aztecs (7-0, 3-0 MWC) meet Saturday at Dignity Health Sports Park. Kickoff is scheduled for 10:30 p.m. ET. Below, we look at the Fresno State vs. San Diego State odds and lines, and make our expert college football picks, predictions and bets.

Rankings according to the AFCA Coaches Poll powered by USA TODAY Sports.

The Bulldogs rolled up a 34-32 win against Nevada Saturday, but they failed to cover a 3.5-point number as the Over hit. Fresno State is just 1-3 ATS across the past four outings despite going 3-1 SU.

The Aztecs scratched out a 20-14 win at Air Force as three-point ‘dogs, improving to 5-1 ATS across the past six games overall. The Under is 3-0 in the past three contests with San Diego State allowing just 11.3 points per game (PPG) in those games.

Fresno State at San Diego State odds, spread and lines

Odds provided by Tipico Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports’ betting odds for a full list. Lines last updated at 8:59 a.m. ET.

  • Money line: Fresno State -112 (bet $112 to win $100) | San Diego State -108 (bet $108 to win $100)
  • Against the spread (ATS): Fresno State +0.5 (-112) | San Diego State -0.5 (-108)
  • Over/Under (O/U): 44.5 (O: -108 | U: -112)

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Fresno State at San Diego State odds, lines, picks and predictions

Prediction

San Diego State 26, Fresno State 23

Money line

SAN DIEGO STATE (-108) is the lean at home, as it looks to keep its unbeaten season alive. The Aztecs have the defense to shut down the Fresno State (-112) offense, yielding just 279.4 total yards per game to rank fifth in the country. San Diego State is allowing just 15.7 PPG to rank seventh in the nation. That will be the difference here.

Against the spread

San Diego State -0.5 (-108) is not worth playing. Just bet the money line instead, as it is slightly cheaper and essentially the same bet. AVOID.

Over/Under

OVER 44.5 (-108) is the lean despite San Diego State’s sturdy defense and the fact you’ll be betting against some serious trends. The Under is 7-0 in the past seven meetings in this series, including 4-0 in the past four home games for the Aztecs. But Fresno State’s offense has posted 35.6 PPG, and it will be the biggest threat to the Under.

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