For Texas to make a run, it needs Sam Ehlinger of Novembers past

For the Texas Longhorns to make it to Arlington for the Big 12 Championship game, they will need Sam Ehlinger to return to November form.

The Texas Longhorns find themselves in yet another must-win game as they host the Iowa State Cyclones. There is only one goal for the Longhorns and Tom Herman: Don’t lose another game. As long as they win out, then the Longhorns likely get another shot at Oklahoma. It would be much the same as the 2018 campaign except this time the Sooners would already have a win over their rivals.

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The Longhorns need the old Sam Ehlinger

For the Longhorns to make that much-needed run in the final three weeks, they need their quarterback, Sam Ehlinger, to play as they’ve seen before. He needs to put this team on his back one more time and push the throttle against Iowa State, Kansas State and Kansas in the final three weeks.

Ehlinger’s breakdown by month

Ehlinger Sept Oct Nov
Comp/Game 26 20 15
Att/Game 36.5 36.5 31
Comp % 71.2 54.8 48.4
Yards/Att 9.4 6.6 5.9
Yards/Game 344.0 240.5 184
TDs 10 10 2
INTs 1 4 0

Ehlinger’s numbers in November

Looking at the previous two years, Ehlinger has shown he can be counted on as the months grow cold.

Ehlinger 2018 2019 2020
Comp/Game 18.8 21.3 15
Att/Game 28.3 33.3 31
Comp % 66.4 63.9 48.4
Yards/Att 8.5 8.2 5.9
Yards/Game 240.3 271.0 184
TDs 10 6 2
INTs 2 2 0

Ehlinger’s numbers against ranked and unranked teams

The good news for Texas Longhorns fans is the team has two of its three remaining games against unranked foes. Ehlinger has thrived in those games, so expect a good performance against Kansas State and Kansas.

The bad news is Iowa State is in the top 15, and it is up next. Small sample size this year with only one game against a ranked opponent. The offense was stagnant in that game and the defense rose to the occasion. Which Sam shows up on Friday?

vs. Top 25 Category vs. Unranked
18 Comp/Game 21.5
34 Att/Game 36
52.9 Comp% 59.7
4.97 Yards/Att 7.7
169 Yards/Game 277.5
3 TD 19
0 INT 5

Career Averages against Iowa State

Category Total Numbers Per Game
Comp 34 17
Att 55 27.5
Comp % 61.8 61.8
Yards 410 205
YPA 7.5 7.5
TD-INT 4-0 2-0

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