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The Florida State Seminoles (1-8) travel to South Bend to play the Notre Dame Fighting Irish (7-1) on Saturday. Kickoff from Notre Dame Stadium is slated for 7:30 p.m. ET (NBC / Peacock). Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s college football odds around the Florida State vs. Notre Dame odds, and make our expert college football picks and predictions.
The near-inverse records of these schools reflect polar opposite seasons. The Fighting Irish have shot up to No. 8 in the Coaches Poll and boast a 6-game win streak, punctuated by a 51-14 thumping of the previously ranked Navy Midshipmen last week at Yankee Stadium.
Coming into the season, the Irish were hoping for a quality wins boost opportunity here. (It could’ve been their fourth win versus a ranked opponent.) However, the Seminoles have hardly lived up to their preseason billing and carry a 5-game losing streak into this quasi-ACC showdown.
– US LBM Coaches Poll: Conducted by the American Football Coaches Association and USA TODAY Sports
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Florida State at Notre Dame odds
Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list of college football odds. Lines last updated Friday at 11:44 a.m. ET.
- Moneyline (ML): Florida State +1550 (bet $100 to win $1,550) | Notre Dame -5000 (bet $5000 to win $100)
- Against the spread (ATS): Florida State +25.5 (-105) | Notre Dame -25.5 (-115)
- Over/Under (O/U): 42.5 (O: -110 | U: -110)
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Florida State at Notre Dame picks and predictions
Prediction
Notre Dame 38, Florida State 14
Moneyline
Notre Dame’s outlandish juice to win presents no reason to bet unless it’s used as a parlay leg.
Players budgeting for a high-risk, high-reward bet could sprinkle on FSU ML for the chance at an exponential gain via another South Bend shocker. Otherwise, I don’t recommend it highly.
PASS, barring the comfort for a sprinkle bet.
Against the spread
FSU +25.5 (-105) is appropriately juiced for those wishing to fade the Irish.
However, the books have generally priced Notre Dame well. The Irish sit 5-2-1 ATS. Florida State, meanwhile, lags near the bottom of FBS at 2-6-1 ATS.
As the 24-point margin in my score prediction says, I’m all for taking the FSU points, banking on garbage-time action.
BET FSU +25.5 (-105).
Over/Under
The Under screams at trend loyalists.
Florida State ranks tied for last with a 1-8 record on the total and hasn’t scored more than 16 points since Week 1. Notre Dame ranks mid-pack at 4-4 overall and 2-2 at home.
However, bettors should trust the Irish will continue to purposefully post more points to mark another convincing win in their quest to lock down a CFP berth. They’ll ramp up their offense—especially through QB Riley Leonard and RBs Jeremiah Love and Jadarian Price—to produce another alluring scoreboard visual.
I would even seek higher alternate totals should BetMGM release them closer to kickoff. FanDuel lists Over 51.5 (+265) to reflect my score prediction.
BET OVER 42.5 (-110).
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