Five NFL player prop bets to make for Week 1

Analyzing Week 1 NFL betting odds and lines, Ken Pomponio features the 5 best player prop bets for NFL betting picks, tips and best bets.

After a taste Thursday night, NFL 2020 takes flight Sunday with a 13-game slate.

With much to choose from, here are five player proposition bets to consider from BetMGM.com, with our NFL picks and best bets.

NFL player prop best bets: Week 1

Odds via BetMGM; access USA TODAY Sports’ betting odds for a full list. Lines last updated at 9:30 a.m. ET.

Bills’ Devin Singletary Under 15.5 rushing attempts (-115)

Singletary, Buffalo’s sophomore running back doesn’t look the part of high-workload back at 5-foot-7 and 205 pounds, and he wasn’t in 2019. He averaged a modest 12.6 attempts per game as a rookie last season and only logged 16 or more carries in four of 13 contests, including a playoff contest. Bills QB Josh Allen, meanwhile, is among the league’s top rushing QBs with an average of 7.1 attempts per game over his first two seasons. But Singletary’s biggest roadblock to reaching 16 carries Sunday figures to be third-round pick Zack Moss. The 5-9, 223-pound rookie who, as most any fantasy analyst can tell you, is expected to carve out a sizable share of the backfield workload – likely even more than the 10.4 rushes per contest a 36-year-old Frank Gore averaged for Buffalo a season ago.

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Ravens’ J.K. Dobbins to score a touchdown (+240)

Baltimore is the second-biggest favorite Sunday as 7½ -point favorites against the visiting Cleveland Browns and no other team came close to averaging as many rushing attempts (37.5) per game as the Ravens did last season. That, of course, adds up to a ground-dominated game script for the Ravens on Sunday and puts Dobbins, the second-round rookie and backup running back, in favorable position to find his way into the end zone. The nice +240 price only makes this prop more enticing.

49ers’ Raheem Mostert to score multiple touchdowns (+450)

Mostert emerged in the second half of last season as the best back on one of the league’s most productive rushing teams (second with 144.1 yards per game, first with 23 ground TDs). In his final nine games, including the postseason, Mostert tallied 13 touchdowns, including four in the NFC Championship Game and another in Super Bowl LIV. With a 49ers passing game that will be shorthanded at wide receiver following a rash of preseason injuries, the allure of making a play on a Mostert multiple-TD outing at +450 is way too enticing to pass up.

49ers’ Jimmy Garoppolo Under 251.5 passing yards (-112)

The first thing many will do when sizing up this prop is go back to last season and note that Jimmy G. simply thrashed the Cards, throwing for 424 and 317 yards and four TDs apiece in San Francisco’s high-scoring season sweep. But those two games were the only two of the seven outings in which Garoppolo topped 251½ yards in 19 games last season, and now the Niners’ wide receiver corps – as mentioned above – enters the opener in rough shape with Deebo Samuel landing on injured reserve Saturday and first-round draft pick Brandon Aiyuk questionable with a hamstring injury. Look for the 49ers to rely more on the run as they famously did late last season so we’re fading Jimmy G.

Cowboys’ Amari Cooper Under 67.5 receiving yards (-112)

Cooper draws a brutal matchup out of the gate in Los Angeles Rams megabucks cornerback Jalen Ramsey who played a key role in helping limit Cooper to two catches for 23 yards in their teams’ last two head-to-head meetings (2019 and 2016). If Ramsey shadows Cooper again for most of the game Sunday night, QB Dak Prescott and the Cowboys have much more favorable matchups with talented wideouts Michael Gallup and rookie CeeDee Lamb to turn to.

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