Tier 4
8. Justin Jefferson | WR | Minnesota Vikings | WR3
While Jefferson enters a low-volume passing offense, he still has the chance to produce right away. He fits perfectly as the replacement for Stefon Diggs in the slot, where he spent the majority of his senior season with great success. The draft capital, opportunity, statistical profile and athletic profile all bode well for Jefferson. But being in an offense that favors the run probably limits his ceiling.
9. Jalen Reagor | WR | Philadelphia Eagles | WR4
Reagor and the Eagles are a strong match. There’s a clear path for Reagor to be the unquestioned WR1 in the offense by 2021 and even a path for him to contribute immediately. Reagor is a big-play machine and with a weak depth chart, he has value as one of the top players in the class. Given his elite breakout age, draft capital and opportunity, Reagor is an awesome wide receiver to grab in the mid-late first round.
10. Ke’Shawn Vaughn | RB | Tampa Bay Buccaneers | RB6
For those in a league who value running backs early in the draft, Vaughn is likely to be more of a mid-first round pick. His landing spot and opportunity are the main reasons why he shot up draft boards, but he surprisingly put up strong numbers in touchdown share, dominator rating and target share during college. It will be a battle with Ronald Jones at first, but Vaughn has the ability to fill that three-down role that Bruce Arians was looking for entering the draft.
11. Michael Pittman Jr. | WR | Indianapolis Colts | WR5
I’m sure this might look high for Pittman and that’s fine. But I love just about everything when it comes to his profile. The Colts are enamored with Pittman to be their future WR1 and he even has a clear path to immediate production in 2020. The biggest knock on Pittman is his breakout age (39th percentile), everything else screams production at the NFL level. He has draft capital, opportunity and the skill set to be a strong asset to a wide receiver corps.