EvanMiya likes Duke’s chances to make a deep run in the tournament

Duke may not have been the most consistent team in the country over the last month, but basketball analytics website EvanMiya likes their chances to make a deep run.

Duke basketball struggled to maintain consistency over the closing stretch of the season, capped off by an ACC Tournament loss in the quarterfinals to eventual champion NC State.

However, the Blue Devils’ high-powered offense still has the attention of basketball analytics site EvanMiya.

The site published its forecasts for the upcoming tournament after Sunday’s bracket reveal, ranking the teams most likely to win the championship, and the Blue Devils finished higher than expected.

Despite being a No. 4 seed in the field, EvanMiya thinks Duke has the eighth-best chance to cut down the nets at 3.8%. Only Auburn (7.3%) had a better chance among teams below the top two seeds.

According to the site’s simulations, the Blue Devils have an 85.9% chance to beat Vermont in the opening round, a 55.6% chance to reach the Sweet 16, and a 19.1% chance to reach the Final Four.

Connecticut has the strongest case in the field with a 23.4% chance of winning the national title, according to EvanMiya’s simulations. No other team surpassed 13.2% (Purdue).