EvanMiya bracket simulation has Duke upset by Morehead State in first round

EvanMiya’s Wednesday NCAA Tournament simulation had Duke lose to a No. 14 seed in the opening round while a bitter rival cut down the nets.

College basketball analytics site EvanMiya started a series of daily bracket simulations this week ahead of the NCAA Tournament, and Duke fans won’t love the Wednesday edition.

In the most recent simulation from the site, the No. 3 seed Blue Devils get upset by Morehead State in the opening round.

What’s worse? The North Carolina Tar Heels end up beating Houston in the title game to cut down the nets.

Morehead State, an automatic qualifier after beating Little Rock to win the Ohio Valley Conference, is 109th in KenPom’s adjusted efficiency margin. The Eagles finished the regular season with a 23-8 record and a 14-4 mark against OVC opponents, but after their three-game run in the conference tournament, they’ve won 18 of their last 22 games.

The Eagles didn’t even continue their Cinderella run in the simulation, losing to St. John’s in the Second Round.

No other top-three seed lost in the opening round of the Wednesday simulation.

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