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Spain battles France in a semifinal of Euro 2024 from Allianz Arena in Munich Friday. Kickoff is set for 3 p.m. ET (FOX). Below, we analyze FanDuel Sportsbook’s lines around the Spain vs. France odds, and make our best Euro 2024 bets, picks and predictions.
Spain sits at No. 8 in the FIFA World Rankings and has the best odds of the 4 remaining nations to win the tournament at +180. Spain dominated the group stage with a 3-0 win over Croatia and a pair of 1-0 victories over Italy and Albania. In the Round of 16, Spain defeated Georgia 4-1 and went on to beat host Germany in extra time 2-1 via a 119th-minute goal from M Mikel Merino in a quarterfinal. Spain has allowed just 2 goals through its 5 Euro matches.
France, ranked No. 2 in the world, has consistently won but hasn’t looked as competent. France has the 3rd-best odds to win the tournament at +270 — England is +260; Netherlands is +500.
France beat Austria 1-0 and drew Netherlands 0-0 and Poland 1-1 in group stage play. It took down Belgium 1-0 in the Round of 16 and beat Portugal 0-0 (5-3 in penalty kicks) in a quarterfinal. France is led by Real Madrid star F Kylian Mbappe.
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Spain vs. France odds
Provided by FanDuel Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated Monday at 3:49 p.m. ET.
- Moneyline: Spain +175 (bet $100 to win $170) | France +200 (bet $100 to win $200) | Draw +180 (bet $100 to win $180)
- Over/Under: 2.5 (O: +160 | U: -198)
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Spain vs. France picks and predictions
Prediction
Spain 1, France 0
Moneyline (ML)
BET SPAIN (+175).
France and Spain have a substantial history. Spain has won 5 of the last 8 matches in head-to-head matches with France winning 2 and 1 draw. Recent history points to Spain, which has looked far better this tournament.
France struggled through the group stage, either winning by 1 or drawing its competition. It then had as many shots on frame as Belgium and only 1 more than Portugal, and it should’ve lost had it not been for a clear miss in extra time from Portugal.
Spain has been more consistent, having won 4 of its 5 matches in full time and taking down Germany before penalty kicks were forced. Considering Germany was the home side, that victory was even more impressive.
Considering its recent success against France and in the Euro tournament, BACK SPAIN (+175).
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Over/Under (O/U)
BET ALTERNATE UNDER 1.5 (+160).
Over the last 4 head-to-head matches, two were 1-0 finals. On top of that, both teams have had defensive-minded games often in the tournament. Spain has gone Under this total in 2 of its last 4 games with two ending 1-0.
Both nations have allowed just 2 goals in the tournament. France has gone Under this total in 4 of 5 games in Euro. It has had the game end 0-0 twice and 1-0 twice as well.
Considering both teams’ strength defensively and the value here, UNDER 1.5 (+160) is the way to go.
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