Euro 2024: Portugal vs. France odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Friday’s Portugal vs. France odds and lines, with Euro 2024 expert picks, predictions and best bets.

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France battles Portugal in a quarterfinal match of Euro 2024 from Volksparkstadion Friday. Kickoff is set for 3 p.m. ET (FOX). Below, we analyze FanDuel Sportsbook’s lines around the Portugal vs. France odds, and make our best Euro 2024 bets, picks and predictions.

For a team of its caliber attack, France certainly had an underwhelming group stage. France finished 2nd its 1st 3 Group D games, winning 1 match and drawing the other 2 while ending with just 2 goals for and 1 against.  However it still advanced and beat Belgium 1-0 Monday, a match in which the lone score was an own goal by Belgian D Jan Vertonghen. France did end with 14 more shots and 55.1% of the possession.

Portugal advanced from the Round of 16 by winning on penalty kicks, 3-0  over Slovenia. It ended the 120 minutes with 10 more shots, 4 more shots on frame and 73% possession. The most concerning part of Portugak’s recent performances has been its attack as it has been held scoreless in 2 straight games. It went 2-0-1 (1 loss) in the group stage, beating Turkey 3-0 and Czechia 2-1 before losing 2-0 to Georgia.

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Portugal vs. France odds

Provided by FanDuel Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated Thursday at 6:46 p.m. ET.

  • Moneyline: Portugal +230 (bet $100 to win $230) | France +145 (bet $100 to win $145) | Draw +190 (bet $100 to win $190)
  • Over/Under: 2.5 (O: +140 | U: -170)

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Portugal vs. France picks and predictions

Prediction

France 2, Portugal 1

Moneyline (ML)

BET FRANCE (+145).

France sits 2nd in the FIFA World Rankings because of its firepower both up front and on the backline. It hasn’t performed overly convincingly through its 1st 4 games, but it has got the job done, beating Belgium in its first knockout stage round. It was able to get to the World Cup final in 2022 with a similar roster and should have the experience and talent to beat an aging Portuguese side.

For Portugal, despite having already advanced, a 2-0 loss to Georgia and then a full-time draw with Slovenia is concerning. Expect France to shine when the lights are the brightest. BET FRANCE (+145).

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Over/Under (O/U)

BET OVER 2.5 (+140).

Portugal created the chances against Slovenia yet didn’t convert. It has a plethora of talented creators like F Cristiano Ronaldo, F Bernardo Silva and F Bruno Fernandes. The French front line with F Kylian Mbappe is also among the most talented groups in the world. Portugal has gone Over this total in 2 of its 4 Euro games and in 5 of its last 7 matches.

France has gone Under in all 4 Euro matches but has gone Over in 7 of its last 13 matches. Both teams have the firepower to put shots on frame and create opportunities. Expect the offensive talent to finally come out, and at this value, BACK OVER 2.5 (+140).

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