ESPN predicts the winner of Tuesday’s Auburn vs. Mississippi State game

Auburn will be without its star player on Tuesday. How does that affect ESPN’s forecast of the game?

The Auburn Tigers will be cautiously optimistic heading into Tuesday’s game with Mississippi State.

Auburn, who just claimed the No. 1 spot in both the USA TODAY Coaches Poll and the AP poll, will be without its star forward on Tuesday as [autotag]Johni Broome[/autotag] is listed as “out” for the showdown with No. 18 Mississippi State.

How does Broome’s injury status affect Auburn’s win probability? According to ESPN, the Tigers still have a strong chance to claim another key SEC win.

ESPN’s matchup predictor has given Auburn an 86.5% chance to beat Mississippi State on Tuesday night in Neville Arena. An Auburn win would extend the Tigers’ win streak to nine games and improve its record against SEC competition to 4-0.

The Tigers hold a slight advantage over Mississippi State in points per game, 86.6-83.9. The margin is even slimmer in points allowed per game. Auburn allows 66.0 points per game while Mississippi State gives up 68.3. Both teams haul in 38 rebounds per game, and the Tigers connect on nearly 3% more of its field goal attempts.

Josh Hubbard is the Bulldogs leading scorer at 17.0 points per game. Next in line for Auburn behind Broome is [autotag]Chad Baker-Mazara[/autotag], who enters Tuesday’s game with a 12.7 points per game average.

Auburn faces Mississippi State in a top-25 clash at Neville Arena in Auburn at 6 p.m. CT on Tuesday. Click here for a full broadcast and betting guide for the game.

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