Penn State’s regular season is coming down the final stretch as we enter November and they remain in the thick of the Big Ten East Division race. With four games remaining this year, all against division opponents, Penn State is in a position where it can play itself into the Big Ten championship game despite having a head-to-head loss against Ohio State.
The big game remaining is the Michigan home game coming up next week but the Nittany Lions still have to avoid taking an upset loss elsewhere in order for any of this to ultimately matter in the big picture. That starts this week with a road trip to Maryland. Penn State will be favored in at least three of its final games, according to the updated ESPN Football Power Index metrics. But the win percentage for Penn State in each of its final four games has trended down since Saturday.
Here is an updated look at ESPN’s FPI win percentage outlook for Penn State’s remaining games this regular season.