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The Edmonton Oilers (9-7-1) meet the Toronto Maple Leafs (10-6-2) Saturday at Scotiabank Arena. Puck drop is scheduled for 7 p.m. ET (NHL Network). Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s NHL odds around the Oilers vs. Maple Leafs odds and make our expert NHL picks and predictions.
Season series: First meeting; Tied 1-1 in 2023-24
Superstar Connor McDavid of the Oilers became the fourth-fastest player in NHL history to reach 1,000 points for his career with a second period goal in Thursday’s 3-2 overtime win against the Nashville Predators.
The Oilers streak in with 3 consecutive victories, which is a season high, but the past 2 wins have both ended up going to overtime. The Under is 5-2 across the previous 7 outings
Edmonton has also won 3 in a row on the road, while going 5-2-0 away from home this season. The Under is 5-2 in 7 road contests, too.
For Toronto, it is coming off a 4-3 OTW in Washington against the Capitals as moderate underdogs (+130) as the Over (6) cashed. The last home game resulted in a 3-0 loss to the Ottawa Senators, but the Maple Leafs have won 4 of the past 5 games on home ice, with the Under cashing in each of those outings.
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Oilers at Maple Leafs odds
Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list of NHL odds. Lines last updated at 11:30 a.m. ET.
- Moneyline (ML): Oilers -140 (bet $140 to win $100) | Maple Leafs +120 (bet $100 to win $120)
- Puck line (PL)/Against the spread (ATS): Oilers -1.5 (+180) | Maple Leafs +1.5 (-225)
- Over/Under (O/U): 6 (O: -115 | U: -105)
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Oilers at Maple Leafs projected goalies
Stuart Skinner (5-5-1, 3.22 GAA, .881 SV%, 1 SO) vs. Joseph Woll (3-2-0, 2.40 GAA, .902 SV%)
Skinner has won consecutive starts for the first time this season, allowing 3 goals in each of the past 2 outings. He has shown tremendous improvement in November, going 3-1-0 with a 2.74 GAA and .897 SV% after posting a 2-4-1 mark with 3.51 GAA and .872 SV% in 7 October outings.
Woll has also won back-to-back starts, allowing just 4 goals on 48 shots. His most recent start at home, a 4-1 win over the Montreal Canadiens, was his best outing. He allowed just a single goal on 21 shots in the victory.
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Oilers at Maple Leafs picks and predictions
Prediction
Maple Leafs 4, Oilers 3
Moneyline
TORONTO (+120) is a strong value on home ice as short ‘dogs. The home team has won 5 consecutive meetings in this series since Toronto won 5-1 in Edmonton Dec. 14, 2021.
These games usually feature quite a bit of offense, too, which is no surprise given the fact we have world-class players like McDavid, Leon Draisaitl, Auston Matthews, William Nylander, etc.
Puck line/Against the spread
Playing Maple Leafs +1.5 (-225) will cost you more than 2 times your potential return, if you can’t play Toronto straight up, and you need a little insurance instead.
Again, the home team has won 5 in a row in this series, so if you’re leaning Maple Leafs, just play Toronto straight up for a much better value.
PASS.
Over/Under
OVER 6 (-115) is worth a look at even-money, but don’t get carried away.
The Over is 2-1-2 in the previous 5 meetings, with the winning team scoring at least 4 goals in each of the past 6 matchups. Since March 3, 2021, we have had an average of 7.2 goals per game (GPG) in the past 9 meetings in this series.
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