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The Edmonton Oilers (9-8-2) and Ottawa Senators (8-8-1) tangle Tuesday at the Canadian Tire Centre. The opening puck drop is at 7 p.m. (ESPN+). Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s NHL odds around the Oilers vs. Senators odds and make our expert NHL picks and predictions.
Season series: First meeting; tied 1-1 last season
The Oilers are wrapping up a 3-game road trip that included a Monday tilt at the Montreal Canadiens. Edmonton lost 3-0 and is thus far 0-1-1 on a trip that opened in Toronto.
The Senators have lost 2 straight games (0-1-1) and are 2-3-1 since Nov. 5. Ottawa has been outscored 20-13 over that stretch. The Sens have been off for 2 days after a 4-0 loss at the Carolina Hurricanes Saturday.
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Oilers at Senators odds
Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list of NHL odds. Lines last updated at 9:51 a.m. ET.
- Moneyline: Edmonton -120 (bet $120 to win $100) | Ottawa +100 (bet $100 to win $100)
- Puck line (PL)/Against the spread (ATS): Edmonton -1.5 (+185) | Ottawa +1.5 (-225)
- Over/Under (O/U): 6.5 (O: -105 | U: -115)
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Oilers at Senators projected goalies
Stuart Skinner (5-5-2, 3.28 GAA, .877 SV%) vs. Linus Ullmark (4-4-1, 2.77 GAA, .890 SV%)
Skinner last played Saturday, allowing all the goals in a 4-3 overtime loss at the Toronto Maple Leafs. He owns an .844 SV% over his last 3 games.
Ullmark will be appearing in his first game since coughing up 5 scores in a 5-4 overtime loss to the Philadelphia Flyers Nov. 14. The 31-year-old Swede has struggled this month, posting an .877 SV% in 5 games.
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Oilers at Senators picks and predictions
Prediction
Oilers 5, Senators 3
Moneyline
PASS.
Looking for an Edmonton advantage in a somewhat looser game, and the puck line offers a better return after the Oilers taking on lots of ML bets early.
Puck line/Against the spread
Edmonton is 3-1 over its last 4 games against Ottawa. The Oilers’ last two 2-game losing streaks were snapped by wins of 4-0 (Oct. 25 vs. Pittsburgh Penguins) and 7-3 (Nov. 9 vs. Vancouver Canucks).
The Oilers outshot Montreal 30-25 Monday and have outshot their opponents in 5 straight games.
Both develop scoring chances at a higher rate than what would be expected by scoring averages of 2.63 goals per game (Edmonton) and 3.24 GPG (Ottawa). (That’s a key reason for a lean on the Over: see below.) But the Oilers are more proficient in developing more 5-on-5 looks from the slot.
TAKE EDMONTON -1.5 (+185).
Over/Under
The Over is 3-1 across the last 4 Edmonton-Ottawa games.
Both sides are solid in getting medium-quality-or-better shot attempts. The likely goaltending match-up doesn’t offer a lot of pushback.
The Sens have been shorthanded frequently of late, and the Oiler power play — clocking a mere 16.3% success rate so far — is a big area of expected growth in production looking forward.
FanDuel Sportsbook offers a better price here: TAKE THE OVER 6.5 (+100).
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