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The forecast for the Miami Dolphins’ 2020 season is, unsurprisingly, not forgiving. The Dolphins were a team that many models predicted would finish as the worst team in football last season after tearing down their roster — only to see Miami get hot in the back half of their schedule and finish the season with 5 total wins and owning the 5th pick in the 2020 NFL Draft.
Now, entering the 2020 season, the forecasts are back and once again looking quite unkind to the Dolphins. No, Miami isn’t projected to be the worst team in football this time around by Football Outsiders, but the prediction isn’t much better.
The Dolphins are better, according to Football Outsiders, than the Washington Football Team and the Carolina Panthers — but no one else. Not even the rival New York Jets or the Jacksonville Jaguars, and the latter is undertaking a teardown of epic proportions very similar to the one Miami endured last season. But not even Miami’s rapid refill of talent and promising finish are enough to build enough momentum to bring Miami out of the bottom tier of teams.
“The Dolphins surprised a lot of people by amassing five wins in the “Tank for Tua” season, but now that they actually have Tua Tagovailoa, it’s unknown when the rookie quarterback will start. The offense is very much under construction, especially the offensive line, and though the defense is built to perform more impressively than some might believe, FO still has the Dolphins with a 2020 DVOA of -15.0%, and just 6.4 Average Wins — which would indeed be an improvement over 2019.” – Doug Farrar, Touchdown Wire
The Dolphins’ forecast of 6.4 wins is still an improvement over their 2020 total, but look for the Dolphins’ coaching to serve as a big boost to Miami hopefully finishing the season a little closer to .500 than what Football Outsiders’ forecast calls for in South Florida.