The Detroit Tigers (39-47) and Texas Rangers (34-52) meet for a Wednesday matinee (2:05 p.m. ET) as they close out a three-game series at Globe Life Field. Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook‘s lines around the Tigers vs. Rangers odds with MLB picks and predictions.
RHP Casey Mize is the projected starting pitcher for the Tigers. In 16 starts, Mize is 5-5 with a 3.55 ERA, 1.15 WHIP, 7.4 K/9, and 2.7 BB/9 in 91 1/3 IP.
Mize has been the beneficiary of a .261 batting average on balls in play and an 81.4% left-on-base rate.
RHP Kyle Gibson is the projected starting pitcher for the Rangers. Gibson is 6-0 with a 1.98 ERA, 1.03 WHIP, 7.6 K/9 and 2.7 BB/9 in 95 2/3 IP over 16 starts.
Gibson goes against a Tigers club he has fared well against in the past (.649 OPS allowed). His cutter – a pitch added last season and now is used 13.4% in 2021 – has been a key factor in setting down lefty bats to the tune of a .581 OPS allowed. That improvement figures to bolster his chances against lefty-heavy Detroit.
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Tigers at Rangers odds, lines, picks and prediction
MLB odds courtesy of BetMGM; access USA TODAY Sports for a full list. Odds last updated at 7:40 a.m. ET.
- Money line: Tigers +135 (bet $100 to win $135) | Rangers -160 (bet $160 to win $100)
- Against the spread/ATS: Tigers +1.5 (-150) | Rangers -1.5 (+125)
- Over/Under: 8 (O: -110 | U: -110)
Prediction
Rangers 6, Tigers 3
Money line (ML)
STEER CLEAR of these prices, and consider the Rangers on a minus-multiple-runs prop.
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Run line/Against the spread (ATS)
Looking at exit velo, Mize’s last two starts have been among his worst. That didn’t show in his line (combined 9 IP, 3 ER). Higher-pitch counts of late and the approach of 100 IP on the season have the 24-year-old on a fatigue watch.
Gibson and the Rangers are worth the tag here: TAKE TEXAS -1.5 (+125).
Over/Under (O/U)
Both offenses are improved of late (Detroit: .782 OPS last 20 games, Texas: .771 OPS last 14), and both bullpens are bottom-third units. Add in some moderate fade on both starting pitchers, and we get to some leverage on the OVER 8 (-110).
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