The Detroit Tigers (21-30) hit the road to face the New York Yankees (36-15) Friday in the first of a 3-game set at Yankee Stadium. First pitch is set for 7:05 p.m. ET (Apple TV+). Let’s analyze Tipico Sportsbook‘s lines around the Tigers vs. Yankees odds with MLB picks and predictions.
Season series: The Yankees lead 2-1 after winning 4-2, 5-3 and losing 3-0 in mid-April.
The Tigers have won 7 of their last 9 games, including 4 against the division-leading Minnesota Twins. They remain 8 games out of 1st in the AL Central.
The Yankees are coming off a 3-game sweep of the Los Angeles Angels and have won 7 of their last 9 as well. They lead the AL East by 5 1/2 over the Toronto Blue Jays.
Tigers at Yankees projected starters
RHP Elvin Rodriguez vs. RHP Gerrit Cole
Rodriguez (0-0, 6.17 ERA) makes his 3rd career start and 4th appearance. He has a 1.20 WHIP, 3.9 BB/9 and a 7.7 K/9 through 11 2/3 IP.
- Relies on a fastball, changeup, slider and curveball, and his heater averages 93 mph.
- The spin rate on his fastball is in the 87th percentile and opponents are hitting .150 against it. It’s his changeup that has gotten him in trouble as the developing pitch has yielded a .273 batting average.
Cole (4-1, 3.12 ERA) makes his 11th start. He has a 1.04 WHIP, 2.3 BB/9 and 11.2 K/9 through 57 2/3 IP.
- Cole’s fastball has averaged 98 mph this year with a spin rate in the 94th percentile. He’s 3-0 with a 1.75 ERA in his last 5 starts against the Tigers.
- His last start against them went a career-low 1 2/3 innings April 22. A rain delay may have thrown him off as he walked 5 batters and allowed 2 runs in a game the Yankees would eventually win 4-2.
- Current Tigers hitters are hitting just .215 against him with a 31.4% K-rate.
Tigers at Yankees odds and lines
Odds provided by Tipico Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 8:22 a.m. ET.
- Money line (ML): Tigers +265 (bet $100 to win $265) | Yankees -350 (bet $350 to win $100)
- Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Tigers +2.5 (-130) | Yankees -2.5 (+105)
- Over/Under (O/U): 7.5 (O: -125 | U: +100)
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Tigers at Yankees picks and predictions
Prediction
Yankees 5, Tigers 2
Money line
This line is a little dangerous because of how bad Cole was earlier this year against the Tigers and the run that they’re on. The lights in Yankee Stadium just may prove too bright for the rookie Rodriguez in his 3rd major league start.
You can’t risk -350 on the home side here, but you could consider YANKEES -0.5 FIRST 5 INNINGS (-180). You’re still risking nearly twice your potential return, but the combination of Cole and the fierce Yankees offense seems worth it.
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Run line/Against the spread
The Yankees’ run line should sneak by, but picking a team to win by 3 runs at even money is risky. Sticking with the first 5 innings, we can expect them to get an early lead with a jittery pitcher in Yankee Stadium.
Take the YANKEES -1.5 FIRST 5 INNINGS (+100).
Over/Under
The Yankees have surprisingly been an Under team of late with it cashing in 5 of their last 6 games. The Under cashed in the Tigers’ last 3 games, which were wins over the Twins. The Under cashed in 2 of the 3 meetings in April, and it’s 6-1 in the last 7 matchups between these sides. The Over could cash if Rodriguez gets rocked, but LEAN UNDER 7.5 (+100).
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