The Detroit Tigers (17-16) and Milwaukee Brewers (16-19) meet Wednesday night for a 7:40 p.m. ET first pitch in the back half of a two-game set at Miller Park. Below, we analyze the Tigers-Brewers MLB betting odds and lines, with picks and best bets.
Tigers at Brewers: Projected starting pitchers
RHP Spencer Turnbull vs. RHP Adrian Houser
Turnbull has come on strong in his third major league season. The 27-year-old right-hander has registered a 2.97 ERA through six starts.
- Turnbull has benefited from generous rates around the margins (BABIP, runners in scoring position,HR/fly balls), and he has an xFIP exactly two runs higher than his 2.97 surface ERA.
- Turnbull is expected to start despite dealing with back stiffness lately. His form has been a bit off over recent starts (11 BB over his last 11.2 IP).
Houser owns a 4.36 ERA in a half-dozen starts. The 27-year-old righty has scuffled over a pair of home starts and is coming off a rocky start against the Cincinnati Reds.
- Houser is a ground-ball type who’s thus far been undone by 40% of his fly balls landing on the wrong side of the outfield wall.
- The Tigers lineup leans more right than most, and that’s a boon for Houser who has held RHBs to a .559 OPS this season and a .634 figure over his career.
Get some action on this game or any other matchup in the 2020 season with an MLB bet at BetMGM in NJ, IN, CO and WV. Bet now!
Tigers at Brewers: Key injuries
(Get the latest injury news here.)
Brewers
- OF Lorenzo Cain (personal) out
- OF Avisail Garcia (ankle) questionable
Tigers
- RHP Jordan Zimmerman (forearm) out
- RHP Ivan Nova (triceps) out
Also see: BaseballHQ Fantasy Baseball
Tigers at Brewers: Odds, lines, picks and betting tips
MLB odds courtesy of BetMGM; access USA TODAY Sports for a full list. Odds last updated at 12:35 p.m. ET.
Moneyline (ML)
The Tigers struggle against right-handers (.733 OPS vs. an .874 OPS against LHPs). The Milwaukee offense has been hamstrung by a a .238 BABIP leading off innings and a .274 figure in scoring situations.
Detroit has won six straight games, but the lean here is toward Houser and the Brewers. The price my be a bit overripe. Perhaps the Detroit win streak and a 12-1 win in Tuesday’s series opener tilts the tag – MILWAUKEE (-167) – back toward -155?
New to sports betting? A winning $10 bet on the Brewers returns a profit of $5.99.
Run line/Against the spread (ATS)
Detroit has only played seven one-run games in 2020. On a high total, BREWERS -1.5 (+120) is a solid play.
Over/Under (O/U)
The UNDER 9 (-110) has some wiggle room for value. Houser, an undervalued Brewers pen, Detroit’s average numbers against righties and an impending date with regression play into the analysis.
Want some action on this game? Place a bet at BetMGM now. For more sports betting tips and advice, visit SportsbookWire.com. Please gamble responsibly.
Follow SportsbookWire on Twitter and like us on Facebook.
Gannett may earn revenue from audience referrals to betting services. Newsrooms are independent of this relationship and there is no influence on news coverage.
[lawrence-newsletter]
[lawrence-auto-related count=3 category=1372]