The Detroit Tigers (28-39) and Kansas City Royals (30-36) finalize a three-game AL Central set at Kauffman Stadium Wednesday. First pitch will be at 2:10 p.m. ET. Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook‘s lines around the Tigers vs. Royals odds with MLB picks and predictions.
LHP Tarik Skubal is the projected starting pitcher for the Tigers. Skubal is 3-7 with a 4.35 ERA, 1.47 WHIP, 11.1 K/9, and 4.4 BB/9 in 60 IP over 11 starts and 2 bullpen appearances.
Skubal coughed up 3 home runs and 6 ER on April 10 but has recorded a 3.73 ERA since. The 24-year-old left-hander has notched a 14.3 K/9 in his last 5 starts, and his underlying analytics support an ERA south of 4.00.
RHP Brady Singer is the projected starter for the Royals. He is 3-5 with a 4.85 ERA, 1.42 WHIP, 9.6 K/9, and 3.3 BB/9 in 65 IP over 13 starts.
Singer is facing Detroit for a third time this season, allowing 4 ER through 13 1/3 IP in the first two meetings. Current Detroit batters own a .622 OPS against the 24-year-old right-hander.
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Tigers at Royals odds, lines, picks and prediction
MLB odds courtesy of BetMGM; access USA TODAY Sports for a full list. Odds last updated at 9:46 a.m. ET.
- Money line: Tigers +125 (bet $100 to win $125) | Royals -150 (bet $150 to win $100)
- Against the spread/ATS: Tigers +1.5 (-155) | Royals -1.5 (+125)
- Over/Under: 9 (O: -115 | U: -105)
Prediction
Tigers 4, Royals 3
Money line (ML)
Detroit defeated Kansas City 10-3 in Monday’s opener and 4-3 in Tuesday’s second game. With the losses, the Royals are just 1-10 over their last 11 contests.
Both starters are worthy of play attention, but Singer is coming off back-to-back 100-pitch efforts and may not bounce back as sharp here. KC has been a fade candidate over recent weeks; their skid may be bringing that opportunity to an end soon – but not yet. BACK THE TIGERS (+125).
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Run line/Against the spread (ATS)
PASS on the run line, but consider a Detroit play if the price reaches -150 or better.
Over/Under (O/U)
Both starting pitchers figure as better than what shows in their surface numbers. Singer, for example, owns peripheral numbers very much in line with his 2020 season in which he produced an ERA of 4.06.
The Under is 15-5-1 in the last 21 meetings between the Royals and Tigers; clock the UNDER 9 (-105) as a solid play.
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