Detroit Tigers (37-53) and the Cleveland Guardians (44-44) resume their 4-game series Friday at Progressive Field. First pitch is scheduled for 7:10 p.m. ET. Let’s analyze Tipico Sportsbook‘s lines around the Tigers vs. Guardians odds with MLB picks and predictions.
Season series: Tigers lead 7-3
Cleveland RHP Triston McKenzie has been dominant in July, and has been the only bright spot recently for the Guardians. He threw 8 scoreless innings with 12 strikeouts in a 4-0 Guardians victory to open the series Thursday.
Tigers DH Miguel Cabrera ended his cold streak at the plate (2-for-25 across his last 7 games), going 2 for 4 Thursday and improving his batting average to .290.
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Tigers at Guardians projected starters
RHP Drew Hutchinson vs. RHP Zach Plesac
Hutchinson (1-4, 4.08 ERA) makes his 5th start and 15th appearance. He has a 1.36 WHIP, 4.3 BB/9 and 5.6 K/9 through 35 1/3 IP.
- Spent the last 2 seasons shuffling between Detroit and AAA-Toledo.
- Posting a career-low .231 BA and .664 OPS this year.
- Lone win came against Cleveland July 5 with 5 IP, 2 R (1 ER), 5 H, 0 BB and 2 K.
Plesac (2-7, 3.99 ERA) makes his 17th start. He has a 1.25 WHIP, 2.3 BB/9 and 6.5 K/9 through 90 1/3 IP.
- Guardians average 3.5 runs in his starts.
- Gave up 6 hits July 4 at Detroit and 7 hits at the Kansas City Royals Sunday in his last start; has a 2.47 FIP across those 2 turns.
- Has struggled against left-handed batters in 2022 with a 1.25 K/BB rate (6.4 K/BB vs. righties)
Tigers at Guardians nickname odds and lines
Odds provided by Tipico Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 8:15 a.m. ET.
- Money line (ML): Tigers +155 (bet $100 to win $155) | Guardians -190 (bet $190 to win $100)
- Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Tigers+1.5 (-140) | Guardians -1.5 (+115)
- Over/Under (O/U): 8.5 (O: +100 | U: -125)
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Tigers at Guardians nickname picks and predictions
Prediction
Guardians 4, Tigers 3
Money line
LEAN GUARDIANS (-190)
The odds aren’t great but the Guardians are 15-6 as home favorites and Plesac is looking to continue his recent dominance on the mound.
Plesac has a 2.68 ERA and pitched through the 6th inning all but once across his last 8 starts, although he only has 1 recorded win along that span.
Guardians are 11-4 in their last 14 home games vs. a team with a losing record while the Tigers are 0-5 in their last 5 road games with the total set at 7.0-8.5.
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Run line/Against the spread
You can get plus money on Cleveland -1.5 (+115) but the Tigers have actually covered 50% of their games as road underdogs — despite the fact that they lose 69% straight-up in that scenario.
The Guardians are also just 1-7 ATS in their last 8 contests when their opponent scored 1 or 0 runs in their previous game.
PASS.
Over/Under.
The trends all point towards the UNDER (-125).
The Under is 5-0 in both Cleveland’s and Detroit’s last 5 games when the total set between 7.0-8.5.
The Guardians are 1-5 in their last 6 game 2s of a series.
The Tigers have a .230 batting average this season, ranked 26th in MLB.
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