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The Detroit Lions (5-1) visit the Baltimore Ravens (4-2) Sunday. Kickoff from M&T Bank Stadium is at 1 p.m. ET (FOX). Below, we analyze FanDuel Sportsbook’s lines around the Lions vs. Ravens odds, and make our expert NFL picks and predictions.
The Detroit Lions play their second road game in a row after defeating the Tampa Bay Buccaneers 20-6 as 3-point favorites last Sunday. QB Jared Goff, despite all the criticism, has the best ATS record of any QB in the NFL over the past 5 seasons, according to The Action Network, and he leads this Detroit side which could be playing the best of any team right now.
Baltimore is coming off a 24-16 win as 5.5-point favorites vs. the Tennessee Titans last Sunday in London. QB Lamar Jackson has seemingly taken a step forward in his passing. With Todd Monken entering as offensive coordinator, the rushing of Jackson has taken a backseat to the pass game, and with rookie WR Zay Flowers entering the fray as a reliable weapon alongside TE Mark Andrews, Jackson finally has a duo he can rely on to get the ball to.
Detroit has been solid all around on offense. Although rookie RB Jahmyr Gibbs is missing some time, RB David Montgomery has filled in and been able to rush for 385 yards and 6 TDs in 5 games. Gibbs will return this week — an important fact as Montgomery, who injured his ribs last Sunday, is out.
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Lions at Ravens odds
Provided by FanDuel Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated Friday at 9:10 p.m. ET.
- Moneyline (ML): Lions +126 (bet $100 to win $126) | Ravens -148 (bet $148 to win $100)
- Against the spread (ATS): Lions +3 (-118) | Ravens -3 (-104)
- Over/Under (O/U): 43.5 (O: -105 | U: -115)
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Lions at Ravens key injuries
Lions
- CB Brian Branch (ankle) available
- RB Jahmyr Gibbs (hamstring) available
- TE Sam LaPorta (calf) available
- RB David Montgomery (ribs) out
- CB Emmanuel Moseley (knee) out
Ravens
- LB Tyus Bowser (knee) out
- RB J.K. Dobbins (Achillies) out
- LB David Ojabo (ankle) out
- FS Marcus Williams (hamstring) out
Lions at Ravens picks and predictions
Prediction
Lions 21, Ravens 17
Moneyline
BET LIONS (+126).
Although Detroit is playing its second road game in a row, Detroit is still the better team.
Jackson has not been good as a favorite in recent years, and the Lions offensive line will be able to hold up against the Ravens front 7.
This is expected to be the windiest game of the day games with winds hoovering around 15-20 mph. This will limit any air game and force both teams to run. With Jackson limiting his running in 2023 and Dobbins out for the season, Baltimore will find it difficult to run against a Detroit defense which is No. 1 in the NFL, allowing only 64.7 yards/game to opponents.
Detroit will be able to perform on offense against the Ravens defense, and as the underdog, the +126 offers better value than the +3 does at -118.
Against the spread
PASS in favor of taking the underdog Lions on the moneyline.
Over/Under
BET UNDER 43.5 (-115).
Unders have been king so far this season, going 10-2 in Week 6. This game has all the markings of another Under with the wind blowing and both teams therefore looking to run the ball as much as possible.
Gibbs returns this week, and he will lead the backfield for Detroit, according to coach Dan Campbell. He will be counted on for the running game as well as in the screen game, and this will allow Detroit to move the ball and keep Baltimore and Jackson on the sidelines.
When Baltimore does get on the field, it will also look to rush the ball with RB Gus Edwards and RB Justice Hill. While they will try, going against the No. 1 rush defense in the NFL will not make it easy. This total (43.5) is low for a Lions game, with their offense. But they are coming in after a 20-6 win in Tampa Bay, and the wind here will make all the difference. TAKE THE UNDER 43.5 (-115), or stay away from a bet on the total.
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