Denver Nuggets vs. Utah Jazz odds, picks and best bets

Previewing Sunday’s Denver Nuggets vs. Utah Jazz Game 4 betting odds and lines, with NBA playoffs betting picks, tips and best bets.

The Denver Nuggets meet the Utah Jazz in Game 4 of their Western Conference first-round playoff series. Tip-off is scheduled for 9 p.m ET on Sunday in the Orlando bubble. We analyze the Nuggets-Jazz NBA betting odds and lines, with picks and best bets.

Series: Utah leads 2-1.

Nuggets vs. Jazz: Key injuries

Jazz

  • SF Bojan Bogdanovic (wrist) out
  • Ed Davis (knee) out

Nuggets

  • SG Gary Harris (hip) doubtful
  • SG Will Barton (knee) out
  • SF Vlatko Cancar (foot) out

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Nuggets vs. Jazz: Odds, lines, picks and betting tips

NBA odds courtesy of BetMGM; access USA TODAY Sports for a full list. Odds last updated at 2:30 p.m. ET.

Prediction

Nuggets 117, Utah 108

Moneyline (ML)

Series odds:

  • Utah (-334)
  • Denver (+260)

After winning Game 1 in overtime 135-125, the Jazz (-162) have trampled the Nuggets (+135) by a combined 56 points in Games 2 and 3. 

Even though the Nuggets have been blown out in the past two games, the main reason is because they are shooting seven fewer threes per game than the Jazz in this series.

Utah is tied with the Houston Rockets for the most threes made per game in the postseason (18). But Denver is shooting the three-ball at the highest clip in the postseason (.443%). And a 3-1 series deficit with no home games forthcoming would be a death sentence for Denver, so they’ll play with a little desperation.

Also, Mike Conley and Georges Niang combined for 11 of 14 on three-pointers. Donovan Mitchell was the only other Jazz player to hit more than one three-pointer, and he only made two threes. Good luck on winning like that again in Game 4, Utah.

BET NUGGETS (+135) to even this series. New to sports betting? A $50 bet on the Nuggets (+135) earns a profit of $67.50 if Denver upsets Utah.

Line/Against the Spread (ATS)

Double-up your moneyline wager on the NUGGETS +3 (-110). I know each of the first three games has been decided by double digits, and the three-point bonanzas that these games turn into, but we’d be kicking ourselves if Utah squeaks by with a buzzer-beater, and we didn’t have the spread as insurance.

The play would be $110 on the Nuggets +3, and if they win or lose by two or one points, a profit will be earned. 

Over/Under (O/U)

The total of 215.5 — with (-110) on the Over and Under — in Nuggets-Jazz is shockingly low. So much so that the OVER 215.5 (-110) feels like a sucker bet. I am going to bite and only put a few dollars on it since both teams are shooting above 40% from deep this series.

Utah and Denver have a combined O/U record of 80-70-1 in the regular season. Also, the Over has cashed in three of the previous four Nuggets-Jazz meetings, and the Over is 7-1 in the Nuggets’ last 8 games as an underdog.

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