Denver Nuggets vs. Oklahoma City Thunder odds, tips and betting trends | October 22

The Denver Nuggets (1-1) are welcoming in the Oklahoma City Thunder (0-1) for a contest between Northwest Division rivals at Ball Arena, beginning at 6:00 PM ET on Saturday, October 22, 2022. It’s the first matchup between the squads this season. …

The Denver Nuggets (1-1) are welcoming in the Oklahoma City Thunder (0-1) for a contest between Northwest Division rivals at Ball Arena, beginning at 6:00 PM ET on Saturday, October 22, 2022. It’s the first matchup between the squads this season.

The Nuggets head into their game against the Thunder as an 8.5-point favorite. The over/under for the game is 225.5.

Nuggets vs. Thunder Betting Odds

Odds provided by Tipico Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list.

  • Spread: Denver -8.5
  • Total: 225.5
  • Moneyline: Denver -353, Oklahoma City +283

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Thunder at Nuggets odds, spread, & more

Prediction

  • Pick ATS: Nuggets (- 8.5)
  • Pick OU:

    Under (225.5)

  • Prediction:
    Nuggets 117 – Thunder 103

Moneyline

  • Denver went 35-18 in games it was listed as the moneyline favorite last season (winning 66% of those games).
  • Denver had a record of 11-3 in games it played as a moneyline favorite with odds of -353 or shorter last year (78.6%).
  • Based on this game’s moneyline, Denver’s implied win probability is 77.9%.
  • Oklahoma City won 22, or 27.8%, of the 79 games it played as underdogs last season.
  • Oklahoma City had a record of 6-36, a 14.3% win rate, when it was set as the underdog by +283 or more by sportsbooks last season.
  • The implied probability of a win by Oklahoma City, based on the moneyline, is 26.1%.

Against the spread

  • Last year, the Nuggets recorded 112.7 points per game, just 0.9 more points than the 111.8 the Thunder allowed.
  • When Denver totaled more than 111.8 points last season, it went 28-14 against the spread and 35-7 overall.
  • Oklahoma City went 33-6-3 against the spread and 19-23 overall last season when allowing fewer than 112.7 points.
  • The Thunder put up an average of 103.7 points per game last year, 6.7 fewer points than the 110.4 the Nuggets gave up to opponents.
  • Oklahoma City put together a 15-3-1 ATS record and an 11-8 overall record last season in games it scored more than 110.4 points.
  • Denver went 13-9 against the spread and 18-4 overall last season when it allowed fewer than 103.7 points.
  • Last season, the Nuggets were at the 10th spot in the NBA’s scoring charts (112.7 PPG), while the Thunder allowed the 15th-fewest points per game (111.8) in the league.
  • Oklahoma City was the NBA’s lowest-scoring offense (103.7 PPG) a season ago, while Denver allowed the 14th-ranked average points per game (110.4).
  • The Nuggets put up a total of 189 more points than their opponents last year (an average of 2.3 per game), while the Thunder were out-scored by opponents on average last year (by 664 total points, -8.1 per game).

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Over/Under

  • The average implied total for Denver last season was 113.6 points, 3.4 fewer points than its implied total of 117 points in Saturday’s game.
  • Last season, Denver put up more than 117 points 30 times.
  • The 112.8-point average implied total last season for Oklahoma City is 3.8 more points than the team’s 109-point implied total in this matchup.

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How to watch Nuggets vs. Thunder

  • Game Day: Saturday, October 22, 2022
  • Game Time: 6:00 PM ET
  • TV Channel: BSOK and ALT
  • Location: Denver, Colorado
  • Arena: Ball Arena
  • TV Channel: NBA League Pass
  • Livestream: Watch on fuboTV!

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