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The San Antonio Spurs (18-16) welcome the Denver Nuggets (19-14) to Frost Bank Center Saturday. Tip-off is set for 8 p.m. ET. Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s NBA odds around the Nuggets vs. Spurs odds and make our expert NBA picks and predictions for the best bets.
Season series: Spurs lead 1-0
The Spurs beat the Nuggets 113-110 Friday, covering as 6-point road underdogs — for an eighth cover in a row — with the Under (238.5) cashing. C Victor Wembanyama led the Spurs with 35 points on 14-for-22 shooting, including 4-for-8 behind the 3-point line. He also had 18 boards, 4 assists and 2 blocks. San Antonio has won 2 straight is 19-15 against the spread (ATS) this season.
The Nuggets had a 3-game win streak snapped with Friday’s loss despite C Nikola Jokic dropping a game-high 41 points on a 15-for-36 night. Denver had covered 3 in a row until the defeat. The Nuggets are 3-1 ATS in their last 4 games but 4-5 ATS in the last 9. Overall, they’re 14-18-1 ATS.
Nuggets at Spurs odds
Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list of NBA odds. Lines last updated at noon ET.
- Moneyline (ML): Nuggets -165 (bet $165 to win $100) | Spurs +135 (bet $100 to win $135)
- Against the spread: Nuggets -3.5 (-110) | Spurs +3.5 (-110)
- Over/Under (O/U): 236.5 (O: -105 | U: -115)
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Nuggets at Spurs key injuries
(Neither team submitted — below was for Friday’s game)
Nuggets
- F Aaron Gordon (calf) out
Spurs
- F Jeremy Sochan (back) out
For most recent updates: Official NBA injury report.
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Nuggets at Spurs picks and predictions
Prediction
Nuggets 123, Spurs 117
Moneyline
PASS.
The Nuggets (-165) are rightful favorites and still one of the best teams in the NBA. Expect them to get revenge Saturday, but don’t bet them at the -165 price. Look for a win by the spread instead.
Against the spread
BET NUGGETS -3.5 (-110).
Denver has covered in 3 of its last 4 games as a favorite and has scored 132 points or more in 4 of its last 5. The Nuggets are 3-3 ATS in their last 6 on the road.
The Spurs, while they have covered in 8 straight, have typically been sizable road underdogs. They are just 3-5 ATS in their last 8 home games.
Considering these trends, PLAY NUGGETS -3.5 (-110).
Over/Under
BET OVER 236.5 (-105).
The Spurs are 2-1 O/U this season when the total has been 230 or more. They have scored at least 113 in 2 straight and are 8-5 O/U in their last 13 games.
While the Nuggets sit top 5 in pace, the Spurs rank 17th and should want to push the tempo as well.
Denver has the fourth-most efficient offense in the NBA and plays at the fifth-fastest pace. It has gone Over in 4 of its last 5 games, scoring at least 120 in 10 of its last 13. TAKE OVER 236.5 (-105).
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