The San Antonio Spurs (5-5) welcome the Denver Nuggets (6-3) to the AT&T Center Monday. Tip is set for 9:30 p.m. ET. Below, we analyze Tipico Sportsbook’s lines around the Nuggets vs. Spurs odds, and make our expert NBA picks and predictions.
The Spurs lost to the Nuggets 126-101 in Denver on Saturday and have now lost 3 straight, with 2 of those defeats coming by at least 20 points.
San Antonio is led this season by F Keldon Johnson (23.3 points per game) and G Devin Vassell (21.3), the only Spurs consistently above 15 PPG.
After a slow 2-2 start, the Nuggets have picked thing up, winning 4 of their last 5 games. They’ve won all 4 of those by double figures as well.
While 2-time MVP C Nikola Jokic is the clear leader, the Nuggets have 7 players averaging double figures. Jokic averages a team-high 20.3 points, 10.8 rebounds and 9.2 assists per game.
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Nuggets at Spurs odds
Provided by Tipico Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 8:02 a.m. ET.
- Moneyline (ML): Nuggets -300 (bet $300 to win $100) | Spurs +230 (bet $100 to win $230)
- Against the spread (ATS): Nuggets -6.5 (-117) | Spurs +6.5 (-103)
- Over/Under (O/U): 233.5 (O: -112 | U: -108)
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Nuggets at Spurs key injuries
Nuggets
- None
Spurs
- None
For most recent updates: Official NBA injury report.
Nuggets at Spurs picks and predictions
Prediction
Nuggets 119, Spurs 115
Moneyline
PASS.
I might consider the Spurs at +230, but would ultimately rather play the points.
Against the spread
BET SPURS +6.5 (-103).
San Antonio is in a good buy-low spot at home. It ranks high in many advanced metrics and gets a good number after a tough road loss. The Spurs sit top 10 in offensive rebounding rate (7th) and turnover rate (2nd).
Denver may be the best shooting team in the NBA, but it is just 1-3 ATS as a road favorite this season. It isn’t a situation the Nuggets have excelled in.
The Nuggets aren’t great on the offensive glass, and while they don’t turn the ball over much, their efficiency does dip to 4th-best on the road. Combine it all, and I like San Antonio to cover here.
Over/Under
LEAN OVER 233.5 (-112).
The Spurs opponents have the 2nd-best effective shooting rate in the NBA which is a clear cause for concern. On top of that, the Spurs rank 2nd in pace.
So, they will want to push the pace and may have little answer for the Nuggets offensively. These teams are a combined 10-9 O/U this season.
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