The 3-seed Denver Nuggets and 6-seed Portland Trail Blazers play Game 4 of their Western Conference first-round series Saturday at Moda Center in Portland. Tip-off is set for 4 p.m. ET. Below, we analyze the Nuggets vs. Trail Blazers odds and lines, with NBA picks and predictions.
The Nuggets dropped Game 1 in Denver, losing home-court advantage in the process. They bounced back in Game 2 with a 19-point win, and in Game 3 they grabbed home court back with a 120-115 road win as 3.5-point underdogs.
The Trail Blazers turned it over just seven times in Game 3, while the Nuggets coughed it up 13 times. The difference was 3-point shooting as Portland was just 31.1% (14-for-45) from behind the arc, while Denver hit 52.6% (20-for-38) from long distance.
Nuggets at Trail Blazers: Odds, spread and lines
Odds via BetMGM; access USA TODAY Sports’ betting odds for a full list. Lines last updated at 6:51 a.m. ET.
- Money line: Nuggets +150 (bet $100 to win $150) | Trail Blazers -185 (bet $185 to win $100)
- Against the spread/ATS: Nuggets +4.5 (-110) | Trail Blazers -4.5 (-110)
- Over/Under: 227.5 (O: -115 | U: -105)
Nuggets at Trail Blazers: Key injuries
Nuggets
- SF Will Barton (hamstring) out
- SG PJ Dozier (groin) out
- SG Jamal Murray (knee) out
Trail Blazers
- PF Zach Collins (ankle) out
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Nuggets at Trail Blazers: Odds, lines, predictions and picks
Prediction
Trail Blazers 119, Nuggets 113
Money line (ML)
The TRAIL BLAZERS (-185) are looking for a little bit of a rebound, and they’re probably a better play on the money line than laying the points since they have won and covered just once. It’s desperation time in Rip City, and you have to feel they’ll be bringing it hard in Game 4.
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Against the spread (ATS)
The TRAIL BLAZERS -4.5 (-110) are the lean, and they’re worth a small-unit play. They have shot lights out just once in three games in this series. They’re a risky play, but the Blazers are the way to go in Game 4.
Over/Under (O/U)
OVER 227.5 (-115) is the best play on the board. It has consistently hit in all three games during this first-round battle. We have had an average of 234.7 PPG in the three installments of this series so far. Until the total is set at 230 or higher, keep hitting the Over.
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