The Denver Nuggets (37-16) battle the Minnesota Timberwolves (28-27) Sunday. Tip from the Target Center is set for 7 p.m. ET. Below, we analyze Tipico Sportsbook’s lines around the Nuggets vs. Timberwolves odds, and make our expert NBA picks and predictions.
This will be the 3rd of 4 matchups between these teams. They are 1-1 straight up, but the Wolves have covered both, winning outright 124-111 at home Jan. 2. The total was 1-1 O/U in those games as well.
Denver is coming off a 128-108 win over Atlanta, covering as a 1-point home favorite. It has covered 4 of its last 5 games and is 6-4 against the spread (ATS) over its last 10. The Nuggets are 29-24 ATS on the season.
Minnesota, on the other hand, is 26-29 ATS on the season and 7-3 ATS over their last 10 games. The Wolves are coming off a 127-120 home loss to Orlando, failing to cover as a 5.5-point favorite.
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Nuggets at Timberwolves odds
Provided by Tipico Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 9:45 a.m. ET.
- Moneyline (ML): Nuggets +120 (bet $100 to win $120) | Timberwolves -140 (bet $140 to win $100)
- Against the spread (ATS): Nuggets +2.5 (-105) | Timberwolves -2.5 (-115)
- Over/Under (O/U): 233.5 (O: -105 | U: -115)
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Nuggets at Timberwolves key injuries
Nuggets
- Not yet submitted
Timberwolves
- C Rudy Gobert (groin) questionable
- C Karl-Anthony Towns (calf) out
For most recent updates: Official NBA injury report.
Nuggets at Timberwolves picks and predictions
Prediction
Timberwolves 118, Nuggets 114
Moneyline
PASS.
The Wolves have won both games outright and are 19-12 straight up at home while Denver is 12-12 on the road. Avoid this and look to the spread for value.
Against the spread
LEAN TIMBERWOLVES -2.5 (-115).
This line seems like Vegas is begging you to take Denver. The Nuggets haven’t been great on the road this season and are on the second night of a back-to-back. They are also 0-2 ATS against Minnesota and 0-1 straight up on the road against the Wolves. Denver is 10-14 ATS as the road team while Minnesota is 16-15 ATS at home.
The Wolves are also 7-4 ATS with a rest advantage this season which will be the case here. Their size with Gobert in the paint and F Jaden McDaniels on the perimeter should be able to limit the league’s most efficient offense.
Overall, back the TIMBERWOLVES -2.5 (-115).
Over/Under
BET UNDER 233.5 (-115).
The Wolves have gone Under their projected total in 5 of their last 6 games. There has only been 1 game in their last 8 that they or their opponent has topped 120. Their defense has been a key reason why, ranking 8th in opponents’ field goal percentage (46.6%). The Wolves are also 13-18 O/U at home this season.
The Nuggets are 5-5 O/U in their last 10 but could have tired legs and slow the pace. They already rank 20th in pace and, on the second night of a back-to-back, could slow it further.
Ultimately, take the UNDER 233.5 (-115).
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