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The Denver Nuggets (44-27) take on the Houston Rockets (46-25) Sunday. Tip-off from Toyota Center is set for 7 p.m. ET. Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s NBA odds around the Nuggets vs. Rockets odds and make our expert NBA picks and predictions for the best bets.
Season series: Houston leads 1-0 with 128-108 win in Denver Jan. 15
Denver was dominated 128-109 by the Portland Trail Blazers Friday, failing to cover as a 2-point favorite as the Over (227.5) hit. The Nuggets turned the ball over an astounding 21 times. The Nuggets have lost by double-digits in back-to-back games while also allowing at least 120 points in 3 straight losses.
Houston escaped with a 102-98 win over the Miami Heat Friday as a 4.5-point favorite with the Under (212.5) cashing. G Fred VanVleet scored 37 points and the Rockets held the Heat to just 18 fourth-quarter points. The Rockets have won 9 straight games.
The Rockets are 2 games ahead of the Nuggets and Los Angeles Lakers for the No. 2 seed in the Western Conference.
Nuggets at Rockets odds
Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 12:32 a.m. ET.
- Moneyline (ML): Nuggets +240 (bet $100 to win $240) | Rockets -300 (bet $300 to win $100)
- Against the spread (ATS): Nuggets +7.5 (-115) | Rockets -7.5 (-105)
- Over/Under (O/U): 227.5 (O: -110 | U: -110)
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Nuggets at Rockets key injuries
Nuggets
- G/F Christian Braun (foot) probable
- F Aaron Gordon (calf) probable
- C Nikola Jokic (elbow) out
- G Jamal Murray (ankle) probable
Rockets
- G Reed Sheppard (thumb) out
For most recent updates: Official NBA injury report.
Nuggets at Rockets picks and predictions
Prediction
Rockets 119, Nuggets 110
Moneyline
PASS.
The Rockets are the hotter team, and with Jokic out for Denver, they will have no problem covering here as -300 favorites. However, Houston is not worth the risk of betting on as such a heavy favorite, so pass and bet on the spread and/or total instead.
Against the spread
BET ROCKETS -7.5 (-105).
Houston has covered the spread in 4 of its last 6 home games while Denver has dropped back-to-back games ATS on the road and is just 2-8 ATS in its last 10 overall. The Rockets are also 5-0-1 ATS in their last 6 matchups against the Nuggets.
Houston has also been the better team ATS this season, sitting at 38-31-2 ATS while the Nuggets are 33-37-1 ATS.
Over/Under
BET OVER 227.5 (-110).
The Over has hit in 4 of Houston’s last 5 games and is 36-34-1 for the Rockets this season. For Denver, the Over is 4-1 in its last 5 games and is a dominant 41-29-1 on the year. The Over has also hit in 2 of the last 3 matchups between these squads.
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